2024 · After week 16
Projected AP Top 25 after week 16
Where we expect AP voters to put every team, from last week’s poll and how each team just played. The real poll comes out Sunday afternoon; we’ll show it next to ours.
This week is worked out from the results with the same model as our Saturday-night projections, so each team gets a one-line summary instead of a write-up.
- Off this week · Was No. 1
- Off this week · Was No. 4
- Off this week · Was No. 5
- Off this week · Was No. 3
- Off this week · Was No. 2
- Off this week · Was No. 7
- Off this week · Was No. 6
- Off this week · Was No. 12
- Off this week · Was No. 9
- Off this week · Was No. 8
- Off this week · Was No. 11
- Off this week · Was No. 10
- Off this week · Was No. 14
- Off this week · Was No. 15
- Off this week · Was No. 16
- Off this week · Was No. 18
- Off this week · Was No. 17
- Off this week · Was No. 13
- Off this week · Was No. 24
- Off this week · Was No. 20
- Off this week · Was No. 21
- Off this week · Was No. 23
- Off this week · Was No. 22
- Off this week · Was No. 25
- Beat No. 19 Army 31-13 at a neutral site as a 6.5-point underdog · Was unranked
Dropping out
Army (was No. 19): Lost to Navy 31-13 at a neutral site as a 6.5-point favorite.
The projection uses the same vote model as our season simulator, fitted to every AP poll from 2014 to 2025: wins over ranked teams and lopsided wins lift a team, losses cost more the weaker the winner and the bigger the margin. Write-ups are generated from the game data and checked against it before they publish.