Projected AP Top 25 after week 1

Where we expect AP voters to put every team, from last week’s poll and how each team just played. The real poll comes out Sunday afternoon; we’ll show it next to ours.

This week is worked out from the results with the same model as our Saturday-night projections, so each team gets a one-line summary instead of a write-up.

1. 1Clemson0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 1
2. 2Ohio State0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 2
3. 3Alabama0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 3
4. 4Georgia0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 4
5. 5Oklahoma0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 5
6. 6LSU0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 6
7. 7Penn State0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 7
8. 8Florida0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 8
9. 9Oregon0-0–
   Off this week · Was No. 9
10. 10Notre Dame0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 10
11. 11Auburn0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 11
12. 12Wisconsin0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 12
13. 13Texas A&M0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 13
14. 14Texas0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 14
15. 15Oklahoma State0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 15
16. 16Michigan0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 16
17. 17USC0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 17
18. 18North Carolina0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 18
19. 19Minnesota0-0–
    Off this week · Was No. 19
20. 20BYU1-0New
    Won 55-3 at Navy as a 1-point favorite · Was unranked
21. 21Cincinnati0-0▼1
    Off this week · Was No. 20
22. 22UCF0-0▼1
    Off this week · Was No. 21
23. 23Utah0-0▼1
    Off this week · Was No. 22
24. 24Buffalo0-0New
    Off this week · Was unranked
25. 25Marshall1-0New
    Beat Eastern Kentucky 59-0 at home as a 25.5-point favorite · Was unranked

Dropping out

• Iowa State (was No. 23): Off this week.
• Iowa (was No. 24): Off this week.
• Tennessee (was No. 25): Off this week.

The projection uses the same vote model as our season simulator, fitted to every AP poll from 2014 to 2025: wins over ranked teams and lopsided wins lift a team, losses cost more the weaker the winner and the bigger the margin. Write-ups are generated from the game data and checked against it before they publish.