New England Patriots beat Baltimore Ravens, 28–24

The Patriots closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

It was the 4th-biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 16, and the 40th-biggest of the 2025 season. New England Patriots pulled off 1 other upset in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 16

1. Pittsburgh Steelers 29, Detroit Lions 24

   7.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5
2. Tennessee Titans 26, Kansas City Chiefs 9

   3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5
3. Jacksonville Jaguars 34, Denver Broncos 20

   3.5-point underdog39% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5

New England Patriots’ other 2025 upsets

1. New England Patriots 23, Buffalo Bills 20

   Week 57.5-point underdog23% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5

More: New England Patriots upsets · Baltimore Ravens upsets · all Week 16 upsets · how upset size works