Jacksonville Jaguars beat Denver Broncos, 34–20

The Jaguars closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 39% chance.

It was the 3rd-biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 16, and the 38th-biggest of the 2025 season. Jacksonville Jaguars pulled off 2 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 16

1. Pittsburgh Steelers 29, Detroit Lions 24

   7.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5
2. Tennessee Titans 26, Kansas City Chiefs 9

   3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5
3. New England Patriots 28, Baltimore Ravens 24

   3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5

Jacksonville Jaguars’ other 2025 upsets

1. Jacksonville Jaguars 26, San Francisco 49ers 21

   Week 43.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 31, Kansas City Chiefs 28

   Week 53.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5

More: Jacksonville Jaguars upsets · Denver Broncos upsets · all Week 16 upsets · how upset size works