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The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 16 · Sunday, December 21, 2025

Tennessee Titans beat Kansas City Chiefs, 26–9

The Titans closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

Final26–9
Upset size3.5
Chance to win38%
Rank in 202537th of 52

It was the 2nd-biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 16, and the 37th-biggest of the 2025 season. Tennessee Titans pulled off 2 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 16

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers 29, Detroit Lions 24
    7.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars 34, Denver Broncos 20
    3.5-point underdog39% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  3. New England Patriots 28, Baltimore Ravens 24
    3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

Tennessee Titans’ other 2025 upsets

  1. Tennessee Titans 22, Arizona Cardinals 21
    Week 57.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  2. Tennessee Titans 31, Cleveland Browns 29
    Week 144.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5

More: Tennessee Titans upsets · Kansas City Chiefs upsets · all Week 16 upsets · how upset size works