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The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 5 · Sunday, October 5, 2025

Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat Seattle Seahawks, 38–35

The Buccaneers closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

Final38–35
Upset size3.5
Chance to win38%
Rank in 202547th of 52

It was the 5th-biggest of 6 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 5, and the 47th-biggest of the 2025 season. It was Tampa Bay Buccaneers's only upset win of 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 5

  1. San Francisco 49ers 26, Los Angeles Rams 23
    8.5-point underdog22% to winOTRecap
    Upset size8.5
  2. Tennessee Titans 22, Arizona Cardinals 21
    7.5-point underdog22% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  3. New England Patriots 23, Buffalo Bills 20
    7.5-point underdog23% to winRecap
    Upset size7.5
  4. Denver Broncos 21, Philadelphia Eagles 17
    3.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars 31, Kansas City Chiefs 28
    3.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: Tampa Bay Buccaneers upsets · Seattle Seahawks upsets · all Week 5 upsets · how upset size works