Atlanta Falcons beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 29–28

The Falcons closed as 6-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 30% chance.

All 2025 NFL Week 15 upsets, biggest first

An NFL upset is an underdog getting 3.5 or more points on the closing line winning outright. Upset size is the points it overcame. How it’s scored

1. Atlanta Falcons 29, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28

   6-point underdog30% to winRecap
   Upset size6
2. Los Angeles Chargers 16, Kansas City Chiefs 13

   5.5-point underdog31% to winRecap
   Upset size5.5
3. Minnesota Vikings 34, Dallas Cowboys 26

   5.5-point underdog30% to winRecap
   Upset size5.5