Buffalo Bills upset Washington Commanders, 17–16

The Bills closed as 6.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 27% chance.

All 2007 NFL Week 13 upsets, biggest first

An NFL upset is an underdog getting 3.5 or more points on the closing line winning outright. Upset size is the points it overcame. How it’s scored

1. Buffalo Bills 17, Washington Commanders 16

   6.5-point underdog27% to winRecap
   Upset size6.5
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, New Orleans Saints 23

   5.5-point underdog29% to winRecap
   Upset size5.5
3. Oakland Raiders 34, Denver Broncos 20

   3.5-point underdog35% to winRecap
   Upset size3.5