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The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 17 · Monday, December 29, 2025

Atlanta Falcons upset Los Angeles Rams, 27–24

The Falcons closed as 7.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 24% chance.

Final27–24
Upset size7.5
Chance to win24%
Rank in 202512th of 52

It was the biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 17, and the 12th-biggest of the 2025 season. Atlanta Falcons pulled off 3 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 17

  1. Minnesota Vikings 23, Detroit Lions 10
    7-point underdog25% to winRecap
    Upset size7
  2. Miami Dolphins 20, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
    5.5-point underdog32% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5
  3. Cleveland Browns 13, Pittsburgh Steelers 6
    4.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5

Atlanta Falcons’ other 2025 upsets

  1. Atlanta Falcons 29, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28
    Week 156-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size6
  2. Atlanta Falcons 24, Buffalo Bills 14
    Week 63.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  3. Atlanta Falcons 22, Minnesota Vikings 6
    Week 23.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: Atlanta Falcons upsets · Los Angeles Rams upsets · all Week 17 upsets · how upset size works