Miami Dolphins beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 20–17

The Dolphins closed as 5.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 32% chance.

It was the 3rd-biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 17, and the 21st-biggest of the 2025 season. Miami Dolphins pulled off 2 other upsets in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 17

1. Atlanta Falcons 27, Los Angeles Rams 24

   7.5-point underdog24% to winRecap
   Upset size7.5
2. Minnesota Vikings 23, Detroit Lions 10

   7-point underdog25% to winRecap
   Upset size7
3. Cleveland Browns 13, Pittsburgh Steelers 6

   4.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
   Upset size4.5

Miami Dolphins’ other 2025 upsets

1. Miami Dolphins 30, Buffalo Bills 13

   Week 108.5-point underdog21% to winRecap
   Upset size8.5
2. Miami Dolphins 34, Atlanta Falcons 10

   Week 87-point underdog25% to winRecap
   Upset size7

More: Miami Dolphins upsets · Tampa Bay Buccaneers upsets · all Week 17 upsets · how upset size works