College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2021 · Week 1 · Sunday, September 12, 2021

Houston Texans beat Jacksonville Jaguars, 37–21

The Texans closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 38% chance.

Final37–21
Upset size3.5
Chance to win38%
Rank in 202158th of 58

It was the 4th-biggest of 5 NFL upsets in 2021 Week 1, and the 58th-biggest of the 2021 season. Houston Texans pulled off 3 other upsets in 2021.

Other NFL upsets in 2021 Week 1

  1. 6.5-point underdog29% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5
  2. 4-point underdog37% to winRecap
    Upset size4
  3. 3.5-point underdog37% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  4. 3.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

Houston Texans’ other 2021 upsets

  1. Week 1613.5-point underdog16% to winRecap
    Upset size13.5
  2. Week 1110.5-point underdog20% to winRecap
    Upset size10.5
  3. Week 156-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size6

More: Houston Texans upsets · Jacksonville Jaguars upsets · all Week 1 upsets · how upset size works