College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2007 · Week 4 · Sunday, September 30, 2007

Buffalo Bills beat New York Jets, 17–14

The Bills closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 36% chance.

Final17–14
Upset size3.5
Chance to win36%
Rank in 200742nd of 46

It was the 3rd-biggest of 5 NFL upsets in 2007 Week 4, and the 42nd-biggest of the 2007 season. Buffalo Bills pulled off 1 other upset in 2007.

Other NFL upsets in 2007 Week 4

  1. 12-point underdog13% to winRecap
    Upset size12
  2. 5.5-point underdog32% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5
  3. 3.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5
  4. 3.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

Buffalo Bills’ other 2007 upsets

  1. Week 136.5-point underdog27% to winRecap
    Upset size6.5

More: Buffalo Bills upsets · New York Jets upsets · all Week 4 upsets · how upset size works