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First round
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Tap a team to send it through. Gold marks the winner of each game, red an underdog winner; the number under each seed is the chance to win that game. The top four seeds get a first-round bye. How the 12-team playoff works
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +17.3
Wk 1 · vs Wisconsin · 92% to win, from the line · really won 41–13
Wk 2 · vs Rice · >99% to win, from the line · really won 52–0
Wk 3 · vs Michigan State · 97% to win, from the line · really won 27–10
Wk 4 · at Purdue · 97% to win, from the line · really won 49–10
Wk 5 · at North Carolina · 92% to win, from the line · really won 37–26
Wk 6 · vs Stanford · >99% to win, from the line · really won 58–7
Wk 7 · at No. 12 BYU · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 24–28
Wk 9 · vs Navy · 98% to win, from the line · really won 35–13
Wk 10 · vs No. 5 Miami · 69% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 11 · vs Boston College · 98% to win, from the line · really won 41–7
Wk 12 · vs SMU · 91% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at Syracuse · 85% to win
5TexasSEC · No. 5 seed8410–2+13.7…
Record through week 12: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +13.7
Wk 1 · vs Texas State · 98% to win, from the line · really won 59–7
Wk 2 · vs No. 16 Ohio State · 57% to win, from the line · really won 24–23
Wk 3 · vs UTSA · 98% to win, from the line · really won 30–6
Wk 4 · at No. 9 Tennessee · 64% to win, from the line · really won 20–17
Wk 6 · vs Oklahoma · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 24–27
Wk 7 · vs No. 25 Florida · 82% to win, from the line · really lost 24–27
Wk 8 · vs Ole Miss · 58% to win, from the line · really won 34–27
Wk 9 · vs Mississippi State · 90% to win, from the line · really won 31–3
Wk 10 · at Missouri · 57% to win, from the line · really won 34–20
Wk 11 · at LSU · 36% to win, from the line · really won 22–21
Wk 12 · vs Arkansas · 92% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at Texas A&M · 57% to win, from the line
6MiamiACC · No. 6 seed, champion8812–1+15.4…
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +15.4
Wk 1 · at Stanford · 95% to win, from the line · really won 45–6
Wk 2 · vs Florida A&M · >99% to win, from the line · really won 77–7
Wk 3 · at No. 11 Wake Forest · 91% to win, from the line · really won 33–20
Wk 4 · vs Central Michigan · >99% to win, from the line · really won 52–3
Wk 5 · at Clemson · 83% to win, from the line · really won 41–13
Wk 7 · vs Florida State · 91% to win, from the line · really won 43–35
Wk 8 · vs Pittsburgh · 91% to win, from the line · really won 52–23
Wk 9 · at North Carolina · 82% to win, from the line · really won 38–35
Wk 10 · at No. 3 Notre Dame · 31% to win, from the line · really lost 24–31
Wk 11 · vs Duke · 83% to win, from the line · really won 36–25
Wk 12 · vs Virginia Tech · 91% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Boston College · 94% to win
7IndianaBig Ten · No. 7 seed7911–2+11.4…
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +11.4
Wk 1 · vs North Texas · >99% to win, from the line · really won 52–16
Wk 2 · vs Howard · >99% to win, from the line · really won 55–0
Wk 3 · vs Western Kentucky · >99% to win, from the line · really won 38–0
Wk 4 · vs Northwestern · 91% to win, from the line · really won 29–23
Wk 5 · at Rutgers · 95% to win, from the line · really won 47–15
Wk 6 · at Nebraska · 74% to win, from the line · really won 20–17
Wk 7 · vs No. 16 Ohio State · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 15–19
Wk 8 · at Michigan · 69% to win, from the line · really won 13–6
Wk 9 · vs Minnesota · 91% to win, from the line · really won 23–16
Wk 11 · vs No. 17 USC · 74% to win, from the line · really won 27–13
Wk 12 · at Washington · 69% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Purdue · 83% to win
8BYUBig 12 · No. 8 seed7810–2+9.1…
Record through week 12: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.1
Wk 1 · vs Utah Tech · >99% to win, from the line · really won 63–7
Wk 2 · vs No. 21 Arizona · 67% to win, from the line · really won 28–17
Wk 3 · at Colorado State · 88% to win, from the line · really won 41–23
Wk 5 · at TCU · 64% to win, from the line · really won 17–10
Wk 6 · vs Iowa State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 24–10
Wk 7 · vs No. 3 Notre Dame · 24% to win, from the line · really won 28–24
Wk 8 · at UCF · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 31–39
Wk 9 · vs Arizona State · 88% to win, from the line · really won 27–20
Wk 10 · at No. 2 Utah · 40% to win, from the line · really lost 20–28
Wk 11 · vs Baylor · 72% to win, from the line · really won 28–7
Wk 12 · at Kansas · 66% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Cincinnati · 81% to win
9Texas TechBig 12 · No. 9 seed7911–2+9.7…
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +9.7
Wk 1 · vs Abilene Christian · >99% to win, from the line · really won 33–10
Wk 2 · at Oregon State · 96% to win, from the line · really won 35–24
Wk 3 · vs No. 19 Houston · 69% to win, from the line · really won 28–26
Wk 4 · vs Sam Houston · 99% to win, from the line · really won 49–14
Wk 5 · at Colorado · 82% to win, from the line · really won 29–7
Wk 7 · vs Arizona State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 53–25
Wk 8 · at Cincinnati · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 24–37
Wk 9 · vs No. 21 Arizona · 61% to win, from the line · really won 34–26
Wk 10 · vs West Virginia · 86% to win, from the line · really won 53–48
Wk 11 · at Oklahoma State · 38% to win, from the line · really won 52–27
Wk 12 · at Baylor · 59% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs TCU · 86% to win, from the line
10UCLABig Ten · No. 10 seed, champion8412–1+12.3…
Record through week 12: 10–0 · title chance … · power rating +12.3
Wk 1 · at California · 57% to win, from the line · really won 45–24
Wk 2 · vs San Diego State · 82% to win, from the line · really won 28–10
Wk 3 · vs Purdue · 82% to win, from the line · really won 52–38
Wk 4 · at Maryland · 57% to win, from the line · really won 54–3
Wk 6 · at No. 15 Oregon · 25% to win, from the line · really won 17–15
Wk 7 · vs Wisconsin · 54% to win, from the line · really won 17–7
Wk 8 · vs Michigan State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 28–10
Wk 9 · vs Nevada · 93% to win, from the line · really won 27–0
Wk 10 · at Minnesota · 59% to win, from the line · really won 34–20
Wk 11 · vs Illinois · 76% to win, from the line · really won 22–14
Wk 12 · at Michigan · 67% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs No. 17 USC · 24% to win, from the line
11Wake ForestACC · No. 11 seed7811–2+12.6…
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +12.6
Wk 1 · vs Akron · 97% to win, from the line · really won 38–16
Wk 2 · at Purdue · 57% to win, from the line · really won 38–36
Wk 3 · vs No. 5 Miami · 9% to win, from the line · really lost 20–33
Wk 4 · at Louisville · 22% to win, from the line · really won 30–27
Wk 5 · vs Stanford · 83% to win, from the line · really won 57–3
Wk 6 · at NC State · 61% to win, from the line · really won 38–14
Wk 7 · at California · 75% to win, from the line · really won 41–7
Wk 9 · vs Virginia · 82% to win, from the line · really won 51–7
Wk 10 · vs Merrimack · >99% to win, from the line · really won 77–0
Wk 11 · at SMU · 43% to win, from the line · really won 49–7
Wk 12 · at Georgia Tech · 92% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Duke · 69% to win
12IowaBig Ten7610–2+9.0…
Record through week 12: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.0
Wk 1 · vs Northern Illinois · 98% to win, from the line · really won 40–0
Wk 2 · vs Iowa State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 16–13
Wk 3 · vs Northern Iowa · 99% to win, from the line · really won 55–0
Wk 4 · at Michigan · 38% to win, from the line · really won 20–19
Wk 5 · vs No. 16 Ohio State · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 14–31
Wk 6 · at Washington · 42% to win, from the line · really won 41–24
Wk 8 · at Minnesota · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 10–13
Wk 9 · vs Wisconsin · 57% to win, from the line · really won 30–0
Wk 10 · at Northwestern · 58% to win, from the line · really won 24–10
Wk 11 · vs Purdue · 90% to win, from the line · really won 28–7
Wk 12 · at Illinois · 67% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Nebraska · 57% to win
13OregonBig Ten769–3+9.8…
Record through week 12: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +9.8
Wk 1 · vs No. 14 Boise State · 95% to win, from the line · really won 34–27
Wk 2 · at Oklahoma State · 95% to win, from the line · really lost 31–39
Wk 3 · vs Portland State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 84–0
Wk 4 · at No. 17 USC · 59% to win, from the line · really won 41–27
Wk 6 · vs No. 4 UCLA · 75% to win, from the line · really lost 15–17
Wk 7 · vs Nebraska · 67% to win, from the line · really won 17–14
Wk 8 · at Illinois · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 10–21
Wk 9 · vs Northwestern · 61% to win, from the line · really won 34–26
Wk 10 · at No. 16 Ohio State · 31% to win, from the line · really won 41–28
Wk 11 · vs Michigan · 75% to win, from the line · really won 31–7
Wk 12 · at Michigan State · 82% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Washington · 85% to win, from the line
14Ohio StateBig Ten759–3+12.3…
Record through week 12: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +12.3
Wk 1 · vs Ball State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–3
Wk 2 · at No. 8 Texas · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 23–24
Wk 3 · vs Kent State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 59–3
Wk 4 · vs Illinois · 96% to win, from the line · really won 42–19
Wk 5 · at No. 13 Iowa · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–14
Wk 6 · vs Maryland · 98% to win, from the line · really won 45–16
Wk 7 · at No. 6 Indiana · 58% to win, from the line · really won 19–15
Wk 9 · at No. 17 USC · 67% to win, from the line · really lost 18–30
Wk 10 · vs No. 15 Oregon · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 28–41
Wk 11 · vs Northwestern · 83% to win, from the line · really won 28–19
Wk 12 · at Nebraska · 58% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Michigan · 82% to win, from the line
15USCBig Ten749–3+6.9…
Record through week 12: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +6.9
Wk 1 · vs San José State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 42–26
Wk 1 · vs Fresno State · 92% to win, from the line · really won 39–0
Wk 2 · vs Louisiana · 98% to win, from the line · really won 49–30
Wk 3 · at Rutgers · 92% to win, from the line · really won 42–35
Wk 4 · vs No. 15 Oregon · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 27–41
Wk 5 · vs Washington · 69% to win, from the line · really won 25–21
Wk 6 · at Penn State · 54% to win, from the line · really won 31–23
Wk 8 · at Wisconsin · 54% to win, from the line · really lost 7–24
Wk 9 · vs No. 16 Ohio State · 33% to win, from the line · really won 30–18
Wk 11 · at No. 6 Indiana · 26% to win, from the line · really lost 13–27
Wk 12 · vs Maryland · 86% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at No. 4 UCLA · 76% to win, from the line
16TennesseeSEC729–3+13.3…
Record through week 12: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +13.3
Wk 1 · vs Furman · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–9
Wk 2 · at Georgia Tech · 80% to win, from the line · really won 45–24
Wk 3 · vs Kennesaw State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 42–9
Wk 4 · vs No. 8 Texas · 36% to win, from the line · really lost 17–20
Wk 5 · vs Auburn · 66% to win, from the line · really won 24–14
Wk 6 · at Arkansas · 82% to win, from the line · really won 24–17
Wk 7 · vs No. 7 Alabama · 31% to win, from the line · really won 26–10
Wk 8 · at South Carolina · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 24–27
Wk 10 · vs No. 18 Kentucky · 67% to win, from the line · really won 34–6
Wk 11 · at Texas A&M · 54% to win, from the line · really won 22–7
Wk 12 · vs LSU · 46% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at Vanderbilt · 58% to win, from the line
17LSUSEC698–4+13.9…
Record through week 12: 6–4 · title chance … · power rating +13.9
Wk 1 · vs Clemson · 75% to win, from the line · really won 51–10
Wk 2 · vs No. 22 Louisiana Tech · 99% to win, from the line · really won 45–14
Wk 3 · at Ole Miss · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 24–32
Wk 4 · vs Texas A&M · 72% to win, from the line · really won 35–6
Wk 5 · vs McNeese · >99% to win, from the line · really won 63–14
Wk 6 · at No. 18 Kentucky · 74% to win, from the line · really lost 34–35
Wk 7 · vs Mississippi State · 88% to win, from the line · really won 31–0
Wk 8 · at Auburn · 68% to win, from the line · really won 38–17
Wk 10 · vs No. 7 Alabama · 66% to win, from the line · really lost 13–31
Wk 11 · vs No. 8 Texas · 64% to win, from the line · really lost 21–22
Wk 12 · at No. 9 Tennessee · 54% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at Arkansas · 78% to win
18HoustonBig 12709–3+6.7…
Record through week 12: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +6.7
Wk 1 · vs Oregon State · 92% to win, from the line · really won 33–20
Wk 2 · vs Southern · >99% to win, from the line · really won 77–6
Wk 3 · at No. 10 Texas Tech · 31% to win, from the line · really lost 26–28
Wk 4 · at Georgia Southern · 88% to win, from the line · really won 42–28
Wk 5 · vs UCF · 76% to win, from the line · really won 27–17
Wk 6 · at Kansas State · 43% to win, from the line · really won 35–16
Wk 7 · vs Oklahoma State · 61% to win, from the line · really won 35–32
Wk 8 · at No. 2 Utah · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 13–21
Wk 10 · vs Cincinnati · 75% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 11 · at Colorado · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 32–42
Wk 12 · at West Virginia · 68% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Baylor · 57% to win
19Boise StatePac-12 · No. 12 seed, Group of 6 bid8011–1+8.9…
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +8.9
Wk 1 · at No. 15 Oregon · 5% to win, from the line · really lost 27–34
Wk 2 · vs No. 24 Memphis · 74% to win, from the line · really won 38–20
Wk 3 · vs South Dakota · 97% to win, from the line · really won 38–24
Wk 4 · at Western Michigan · 72% to win, from the line · really won 32–7
Wk 5 · vs Utah State · 90% to win, from the line · really won 37–18
Wk 6 · at Fresno State · 72% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 8 · at Washington State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–10
Wk 9 · vs Texas State · 75% to win, from the line · really won 46–45
Wk 10 · at Colorado State · 85% to win, from the line · really won 64–38
Wk 11 · vs Oregon State · 88% to win, from the line · really won 46–41
Wk 12 · vs San Diego State · 86% to win, from the line
20LibertyConference USA7412–1+7.4…
Record through week 12: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +7.4
Wk 1 · at James Madison · 35% to win, from the line · really lost 13–20
Wk 2 · vs Gardner-Webb · 97% to win, from the line · really won 24–23
Wk 3 · vs Ball State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 51–15
Wk 4 · at Coastal Carolina · 57% to win, from the line · really won 34–17
Wk 5 · at Delaware · 68% to win, from the line · really won 30–14
Wk 6 · vs Sam Houston · 82% to win, from the line · really won 35–3
Wk 8 · at Kennesaw State · 72% to win, from the line · really won 34–6
Wk 9 · vs Florida International · 82% to win, from the line · really won 49–10
Wk 10 · at New Mexico State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 30–14
Wk 11 · vs Middle Tennessee · 93% to win, from the line · really won 28–23
Wk 12 · vs Western Kentucky · 86% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at Missouri State · 81% to win
21ArizonaBig 12689–3+8.7…
Record through week 12: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +8.7
Wk 1 · vs Northern Arizona · 99% to win, from the line · really won 35–7
Wk 2 · at No. 12 BYU · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 17–28
Wk 3 · vs Northern Illinois · 99% to win, from the line · really won 42–17
Wk 4 · at Washington State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 34–24
Wk 5 · vs Cincinnati · 68% to win, from the line · really won 34–7
Wk 6 · at West Virginia · 59% to win, from the line · really won 52–31
Wk 8 · vs Iowa State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 39–3
Wk 9 · at No. 10 Texas Tech · 40% to win, from the line · really lost 26–34
Wk 10 · vs TCU · 66% to win, from the line · really won 29–28
Wk 11 · vs No. 2 Utah · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 39–40
Wk 12 · at Kansas State · 74% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Arizona State · 62% to win, from the line
22FloridaSEC688–4+4.5…
Record through week 12: 6–4 · title chance … · power rating +4.5
Wk 1 · vs Florida Atlantic · 96% to win, from the line · really won 66–21
Wk 2 · vs Campbell · >99% to win, from the line · really won 52–3
Wk 3 · at Auburn · 57% to win, from the line · really won 44–39
Wk 4 · vs Ole Miss · 61% to win, from the line · really won 52–28
Wk 5 · at Missouri · 64% to win, from the line · really lost 17–45
Wk 6 · vs South Carolina · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 19–38
Wk 7 · at No. 8 Texas · 18% to win, from the line · really won 27–24
Wk 9 · vs No. 1 Georgia · 22% to win, from the line · really lost 8–27
Wk 10 · vs Oklahoma · 61% to win, from the line · really lost 7–23
Wk 11 · at No. 18 Kentucky · 42% to win, from the line · really won 21–14
Wk 12 · vs Vanderbilt · 82% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at Florida State · 62% to win, from the line
23LouisvilleACC699–3+9.3…
Record through week 12: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +9.3
Wk 1 · vs Ole Miss · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 38–41
Wk 2 · vs Villanova · >99% to win, from the line · really won 59–13
Wk 3 · vs SMU · 58% to win, from the line · really won 41–31
Wk 4 · vs No. 11 Wake Forest · 78% to win, from the line · really lost 27–30
Wk 5 · at NC State · 64% to win, from the line · really lost 28–31
Wk 6 · vs Florida State · 61% to win, from the line · really won 44–20
Wk 7 · at Syracuse · 83% to win, from the line · really won 34–26
Wk 9 · vs Stanford · 93% to win, from the line · really won 52–24
Wk 10 · at Georgia Tech · 83% to win, from the line · really won 44–17
Wk 11 · at North Carolina · 59% to win, from the line · really won 16–14
Wk 12 · vs Pittsburgh · 80% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at No. 18 Kentucky · 56% to win
24North Dakota StateMountain West6210–3+6.8…
Record through week 12: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +6.8
Wk 1 · vs Jacksonville State · 67% to win, from the line · really won 33–7
Wk 1 · vs Fordham · >99% to win, from the line · really won 38–0
Wk 2 · at Air Force · 54% to win, from the line · really won 38–32
Wk 3 · at Sacramento State · 96% to win, from the line · really won 31–10
Wk 5 · vs Wyoming · 88% to win, from the line · really won 28–0
Wk 6 · at UNLV · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 7–13
Wk 7 · vs Nevada · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–17
Wk 8 · at New Mexico · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 16–21
Wk 9 · vs UTEP · 94% to win, from the line · really won 31–7
Wk 11 · at Hawai'i · 72% to win, from the line · really won 21–13
Wk 12 · vs Northern Illinois · 95% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · at San José State · 78% to win
25New MexicoMountain West7011–2+7.3…
Record through week 12: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +7.3
Wk 1 · vs Central Michigan · 78% to win, from the line · really won 38–7
Wk 2 · vs Mercyhurst · >99% to win, from the line · really won 70–7
Wk 3 · at Oklahoma · 8% to win, from the line · really lost 6–14
Wk 4 · at New Mexico State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 42–18
Wk 5 · vs UTEP · 94% to win, from the line · really won 61–7
Wk 7 · at Hawai'i · 83% to win, from the line · really won 21–10
Wk 8 · vs No. 23 North Dakota State · 62% to win, from the line · really won 21–16
Wk 9 · at San José State · 85% to win, from the line · really won 21–16
Wk 10 · at Nevada · 76% to win, from the line · really won 31–3
Wk 11 · vs UNLV · 90% to win, from the line · really lost 17–21
Wk 12 · at Wyoming · 74% to win, from the line
Wk 13 · vs Air Force · 70% to win
Ranked by the committee’s final ranking in your season. Playoff resume rates what a team did, from 0 to 99: wins over good teams lift it and losses to weak ones sink it, measured against what a playoff-bubble team would do with the same schedule. Projected record has the favorite winning every game nobody has decided, title game included. Power rating is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. Make playoff is the share of 1,000 simulated seasons that put the team in the field. Tap a team to see and change its games.
Pick the winners, week by week
Week 12Next up
No. 1 Georgia 9–1 at South Carolina 6–4
No. 2 Utah 10–0 at TCU 5–5
SMU 7–3 at No. 3 Notre Dame 9–1
No. 4 UCLA 10–0 at Michigan 5–5
Virginia Tech 6–4 at No. 5 Miami 9–1
No. 6 Indiana 9–1 at Washington 6–4
Chattanooga 0–0 at No. 7 Alabama 8–2
Arkansas 4–6 at No. 8 Texas 8–2
LSU 6–4 at No. 9 Tennessee 8–2
No. 10 Texas Tech 9–1 at Baylor 6–4
No. 11 Wake Forest 9–1 at Georgia Tech 3–7
No. 12 BYU 8–2 at Kansas 4–6
No. 13 Iowa 8–2 at Illinois 6–4
San Diego State 5–5 at No. 14 Boise State 9–1
No. 15 Oregon 7–3 at Michigan State 3–7
No. 16 Ohio State 7–3 at Nebraska 6–4
Maryland 4–6 at No. 17 USC 7–3
No. 18 Kentucky 7–3 at Missouri 6–4
No. 19 Houston 7–3 at West Virginia 5–5
Western Kentucky 4–6 at No. 20 Liberty 9–1
No. 21 Arizona 7–3 at Kansas State 4–6
Arkansas State 4–6 at No. 22 Louisiana Tech 8–2
Northern Illinois 0–10 at No. 23 North Dakota State 8–2
No. 24 Memphis 8–2 at Navy 3–6
Vanderbilt 4–6 at No. 25 Florida 6–4
Records are through week 12 and change as you pick or sim. Tap a team to make it win. Percentages are each team’s chance to win, from the betting line when there is one. Red means the underdog wins.
Top 25
After week 11Projected AP poll
1Georgia 9–1
2Utah 10–0
3Notre Dame 9–1
4UCLA 10–0
5Miami 9–1
6Indiana 9–1
7Alabama 8–2
8Texas 8–2
9Tennessee 8–2
10Texas Tech 9–1
11Wake Forest 9–1
12BYU 8–2
13Iowa 8–2▲3
14Boise State 9–1▲3
15Oregon 7–3▲3
16Ohio State 7–3▲5
17USC 7–3▼2
18Kentucky 7–3▼5
19Houston 7–3▼5
20Liberty 9–1new
21Arizona 7–3▲1
22Louisiana Tech 8–2new
23North Dakota State 8–2new
24Memphis 8–2new
25Florida 6–4new
This is the ranking going into the week you’re picking, and it moves with the week arrows. The real AP poll and committee ranking show until the first week that goes differently from real life. After that we project them: every result moves teams the way real voters and the committee have from 2014 to 2025. A ranked team that loses to an unranked one drops about eight spots and falls out more often than not; an unranked team that beats a top-10 team can jump straight in. The committee’s last ranking picks your playoff field.
GeorgiaSEC · No. 1 seed, champion8912–1+17.7…
UtahBig 12 · No. 2 seed, champion9213–0+12.9…
AlabamaSEC · No. 3 seed7810–3+17.0…
Notre DameFBS Independents · No. 4 seed8311–1+17.3…
TexasSEC · No. 5 seed8410–2+13.7…
MiamiACC · No. 6 seed, champion8812–1+15.4…
IndianaBig Ten · No. 7 seed7911–2+11.4…
BYUBig 12 · No. 8 seed7810–2+9.1…
Texas TechBig 12 · No. 9 seed7911–2+9.7…
UCLABig Ten · No. 10 seed, champion8412–1+12.3…
Wake ForestACC · No. 11 seed7811–2+12.6…
IowaBig Ten7610–2+9.0…
OregonBig Ten769–3+9.8…
Ohio StateBig Ten759–3+12.3…
USCBig Ten749–3+6.9…
TennesseeSEC729–3+13.3…
LSUSEC698–4+13.9…
HoustonBig 12709–3+6.7…
Boise StatePac-12 · No. 12 seed, Group of 6 bid8011–1+8.9…
LibertyConference USA7412–1+7.4…
ArizonaBig 12689–3+8.7…
FloridaSEC688–4+4.5…
LouisvilleACC699–3+9.3…
North Dakota StateMountain West6210–3+6.8…
New MexicoMountain West7011–2+7.3…
South Carolina 6–4
TCU 5–5
SMU 7–3 at 
Michigan 5–5
Virginia Tech 6–4 at 
Washington 6–4
Chattanooga 0–0 at 
Arkansas 4–6 at 
Baylor 6–4
Georgia Tech 3–7
Kansas 4–6
Illinois 6–4
San Diego State 5–5 at 
Michigan State 3–7
Nebraska 6–4
Maryland 4–6 at 
No. 18 Kentucky 7–3 at 
Missouri 6–4
West Virginia 5–5
Western Kentucky 4–6 at 
Kansas State 4–6
Arkansas State 4–6 at 
No. 22 Louisiana Tech 8–2
Northern Illinois 0–10 at 
No. 24 Memphis 8–2 at 
Navy 3–6
Vanderbilt 4–6 at