Flip any 2024 result or replay the season from any week, and see who would make today's 12-team playoff.
Every game shows what really happened. Flip any result, or pick a week to start simulating from.
Notre Dameyour national champion
–chance your picks all come true
213upsets in your season
Pick a winner anywhere to see the odds of your version of the season. Games nobody has decided go to the favorite. Playoff odds come from playing the rest out 1,000 times, with your results locked in.
Scenario editor
First round
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Tap a team to send it through. Gold marks the winner of each game, red an underdog winner; the number under each seed is the chance to win that game. The top four seeds get a first-round bye. How the 12-team playoff works
First teams out: Alabama, Miami, Ole Miss, South Carolina.
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.2
Wk 1 · vs Wyoming · 67% to win, from the line · really won 48–7
Wk 2 · vs Mississippi State · 67% to win, from the line · really won 30–23
Wk 3 · at Texas State · 43% to win, from the line · really won 31–28
Wk 4 · at Texas Tech · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 22–30
Wk 6 · vs Kansas · 57% to win, from the line · really won 35–31
Wk 7 · vs Utah · 36% to win, from the line · really won 27–19
Wk 8 · at Cincinnati · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 14–24
Wk 10 · at Oklahoma State · 62% to win, from the line · really won 42–21
Wk 11 · vs UCF · 57% to win, from the line · really won 35–31
Wk 12 · at Kansas State · 31% to win, from the line · really won 24–14
Wk 13 · vs No. 17 BYU · 59% to win, from the line · really won 28–23
Wk 14 · at Arizona · 69% to win, from the line · really won 49–7
13MiamiACC7510–2+12.7…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +12.7
Wk 1 · at Florida · 57% to win, from the line · really won 41–17
Wk 2 · vs Florida A&M · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–9
Wk 3 · vs Ball State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 62–0
Wk 4 · at South Florida · 85% to win, from the line · really won 50–15
Wk 5 · vs Virginia Tech · 88% to win, from the line · really won 38–34
Wk 6 · at California · 72% to win, from the line · really won 39–38
Wk 8 · at Louisville · 62% to win, from the line · really won 52–45
Wk 9 · vs Florida State · 92% to win, from the line · really won 36–14
Wk 10 · vs Duke · 90% to win, from the line · really won 53–31
Wk 11 · at Georgia Tech · 74% to win, from the line · really lost 23–28
Wk 13 · vs Wake Forest · 94% to win, from the line · really won 42–14
Wk 14 · at No. 21 Syracuse · 80% to win, from the line · really lost 38–42
14Ole MissSEC689–3+13.3…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +13.3
Wk 1 · vs Furman · >99% to win, from the line · really won 76–0
Wk 2 · vs Middle Tennessee · >99% to win, from the line · really won 52–3
Wk 3 · at Wake Forest · 91% to win, from the line · really won 40–6
Wk 4 · vs Georgia Southern · 99% to win, from the line · really won 52–13
Wk 5 · vs Kentucky · 85% to win, from the line · really lost 17–20
Wk 6 · at No. 15 South Carolina · 76% to win, from the line · really won 27–3
Wk 7 · at LSU · 59% to win, from the line · really lost 26–29
Wk 9 · vs Oklahoma · 90% to win, from the line · really won 26–14
Wk 10 · at Arkansas · 69% to win, from the line · really won 63–31
Wk 11 · vs No. 2 Georgia · 46% to win, from the line · really won 28–10
Wk 13 · at Florida · 82% to win, from the line · really lost 17–24
Wk 14 · vs Mississippi State · 96% to win, from the line · really won 26–14
15South CarolinaSEC739–3+12.0…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +12.0
Wk 1 · vs Old Dominion · 91% to win, from the line · really won 23–19
Wk 2 · at Kentucky · 26% to win, from the line · really won 31–6
Wk 3 · vs LSU · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 33–36
Wk 4 · vs Akron · 93% to win, from the line · really won 50–7
Wk 6 · vs No. 14 Ole Miss · 24% to win, from the line · really lost 3–27
Wk 7 · at No. 11 Alabama · 10% to win, from the line · really lost 25–27
Wk 8 · at Oklahoma · 57% to win, from the line · really won 35–9
Wk 10 · vs Texas A&M · 41% to win, from the line · really won 44–20
Wk 11 · at Vanderbilt · 64% to win, from the line · really won 28–7
Wk 12 · vs No. 19 Missouri · 76% to win, from the line · really won 34–30
Wk 13 · vs Wofford · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–12
Wk 14 · at No. 16 Clemson · 43% to win, from the line · really won 17–14
16ClemsonACC · No. 12 seed, champion7110–3+10.0…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +10.0
Wk 1 · vs No. 2 Georgia · 24% to win, from the line · really lost 3–34
Wk 2 · vs App State · 82% to win, from the line · really won 66–20
Wk 4 · vs NC State · 88% to win, from the line · really won 59–35
Wk 5 · vs Stanford · 94% to win, from the line · really won 40–14
Wk 6 · at Florida State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 29–13
Wk 7 · at Wake Forest · 92% to win, from the line · really won 49–14
Wk 8 · vs Virginia · 91% to win, from the line · really won 48–31
Wk 10 · vs Louisville · 78% to win, from the line · really lost 21–33
Wk 11 · at Virginia Tech · 67% to win, from the line · really won 24–14
Wk 12 · at Pittsburgh · 80% to win, from the line · really won 24–20
Wk 13 · vs The Citadel · >99% to win, from the line · really won 51–14
Wk 14 · vs No. 15 South Carolina · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 14–17
17BYUBig 127510–2+8.7…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +8.7
Wk 1 · vs Southern Illinois · 99% to win · really won 41–13
Wk 2 · at No. 10 SMU · 20% to win, from the line · really won 18–15
Wk 3 · at Wyoming · 74% to win, from the line · really won 34–14
Wk 4 · vs Kansas State · 31% to win, from the line · really won 38–9
Wk 5 · at Baylor · 41% to win, from the line · really won 34–28
Wk 7 · vs Arizona · 57% to win, from the line · really won 41–19
Wk 8 · vs Oklahoma State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 38–35
Wk 9 · at UCF · 43% to win, from the line · really won 37–24
Wk 11 · at Utah · 59% to win, from the line · really won 22–21
Wk 12 · vs Kansas · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 13–17
Wk 13 · at No. 12 Arizona State · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 23–28
Wk 14 · vs Houston · 74% to win, from the line · really won 30–18
18Iowa StateBig 126910–3+6.3…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +6.3
Wk 1 · vs North Dakota · 98% to win, from the line · really won 21–3
Wk 2 · at Iowa · 43% to win, from the line · really won 20–19
Wk 4 · vs Arkansas State · 89% to win, from the line · really won 52–7
Wk 5 · at Houston · 86% to win, from the line · really won 20–0
Wk 6 · vs Baylor · 80% to win, from the line · really won 43–21
Wk 7 · at West Virginia · 58% to win, from the line · really won 28–16
Wk 8 · vs UCF · 82% to win, from the line · really won 38–35
Wk 10 · vs Texas Tech · 83% to win, from the line · really lost 22–23
Wk 11 · vs Kansas · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 36–45
Wk 12 · vs Cincinnati · 69% to win, from the line · really won 34–17
Wk 13 · at Utah · 59% to win, from the line · really won 31–28
Wk 14 · vs Kansas State · 57% to win, from the line · really won 29–21
19MissouriSEC689–3+4.8…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +4.8
Wk 1 · vs Murray State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 51–0
Wk 2 · vs Buffalo · 99% to win, from the line · really won 38–0
Wk 3 · vs Boston College · 83% to win, from the line · really won 27–21
Wk 4 · vs Vanderbilt · 89% to win, from the line · really won 30–27
Wk 6 · at Texas A&M · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 10–41
Wk 7 · at Massachusetts · 97% to win, from the line · really won 45–3
Wk 8 · vs Auburn · 62% to win, from the line · really won 21–17
Wk 9 · at No. 11 Alabama · 14% to win, from the line · really lost 0–34
Wk 11 · vs Oklahoma · 41% to win, from the line · really won 30–23
Wk 12 · at No. 15 South Carolina · 24% to win, from the line · really lost 30–34
Wk 13 · at Mississippi State · 74% to win, from the line · really won 39–20
Wk 14 · vs Arkansas · 59% to win, from the line · really won 28–21
20IllinoisBig Ten699–3+4.4…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +4.4
Wk 1 · vs Eastern Illinois · 97% to win, from the line · really won 45–0
Wk 2 · vs Kansas · 38% to win, from the line · really won 23–17
Wk 3 · vs Central Michigan · 92% to win, from the line · really won 30–9
Wk 4 · at Nebraska · 26% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 5 · at No. 4 Penn State · 10% to win, from the line · really lost 7–21
Wk 7 · vs Purdue · 92% to win, from the line · really won 50–49
Wk 8 · vs Michigan · 36% to win, from the line · really won 21–7
Wk 9 · at No. 1 Oregon · 7% to win, from the line · really lost 9–38
Wk 10 · vs Minnesota · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 17–25
Wk 12 · vs Michigan State · 54% to win, from the line · really won 38–16
Wk 13 · at Rutgers · 43% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 14 · vs Northwestern · 72% to win, from the line · really won 38–28
21SyracuseACC699–3+3.9…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +3.9
Wk 1 · vs Ohio · 88% to win, from the line · really won 38–22
Wk 2 · vs Georgia Tech · 43% to win, from the line · really won 31–28
Wk 4 · vs Stanford · 74% to win, from the line · really lost 24–26
Wk 5 · vs Holy Cross · 98% to win, from the line · really won 42–14
Wk 6 · at No. 24 UNLV · 36% to win, from the line · really won 44–41
Wk 7 · at NC State · 54% to win, from the line · really won 24–17
Wk 9 · at Pittsburgh · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 13–41
Wk 10 · vs Virginia Tech · 41% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 11 · at Boston College · 36% to win, from the line · really lost 31–37
Wk 12 · at California · 24% to win, from the line · really won 33–25
Wk 13 · vs UConn · 74% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 14 · vs No. 13 Miami · 20% to win, from the line · really won 42–38
22ArmyAmerican Athletic7011–2+7.6…
Record through week 14: 10–1 · title chance … · power rating +7.6
Wk 1 · vs Lehigh · 99% to win · really won 42–7
Wk 2 · at Florida Atlantic · 46% to win, from the line · really won 24–7
Wk 4 · vs Rice · 69% to win, from the line · really won 37–14
Wk 5 · at Temple · 92% to win, from the line · really won 42–14
Wk 6 · at Tulsa · 82% to win, from the line · really won 49–7
Wk 7 · vs UAB · 96% to win, from the line · really won 44–10
Wk 8 · vs East Carolina · 89% to win, from the line · really won 45–28
Wk 10 · vs Air Force · 89% to win, from the line · really won 20–3
Wk 11 · at North Texas · 67% to win, from the line · really won 14–3
Wk 13 · vs No. 5 Notre Dame · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 14–49
Wk 14 · vs UTSA · 67% to win, from the line · really won 29–24
Wk 16 · vs Navy · 67% to win, from the line · really lost 13–31
23ColoradoBig 12669–3+8.2…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +8.2
Wk 1 · vs North Dakota State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 31–26
Wk 2 · at Nebraska · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 10–28
Wk 3 · at Colorado State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 28–9
Wk 4 · vs Baylor · 57% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 5 · at UCF · 20% to win, from the line · really won 48–21
Wk 7 · vs Kansas State · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 28–31
Wk 8 · at Arizona · 43% to win, from the line · really won 34–7
Wk 9 · vs Cincinnati · 67% to win, from the line · really won 34–23
Wk 11 · at Texas Tech · 62% to win, from the line · really won 41–27
Wk 12 · vs Utah · 82% to win, from the line · really won 49–24
Wk 13 · vs Kansas · 54% to win, from the line · really lost 21–37
Wk 14 · vs Oklahoma State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 52–0
24UNLVMountain West6410–3+6.8…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +6.8
Wk 1 · at Houston · 46% to win, from the line · really won 27–7
Wk 2 · vs Utah Tech · >99% to win, from the line · really won 72–14
Wk 3 · vs Kansas · 24% to win, from the line · really won 23–20
Wk 5 · vs Fresno State · 57% to win, from the line · really won 59–14
Wk 6 · vs No. 21 Syracuse · 64% to win, from the line · really lost 41–44
Wk 7 · at Utah State · 89% to win, from the line · really won 50–34
Wk 8 · at Oregon State · 67% to win, from the line · really won 33–25
Wk 9 · vs No. 9 Boise State · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 24–29
Wk 11 · at Hawai'i · 80% to win, from the line · really won 29–27
Wk 12 · vs San Diego State · 90% to win, from the line · really won 41–20
Wk 13 · at San José State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 27–16
Wk 14 · vs Nevada · 88% to win, from the line · really won 38–14
25MemphisAmerican Athletic6710–2+4.4…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +4.4
Wk 1 · vs North Alabama · >99% to win, from the line · really won 40–0
Wk 2 · vs Troy · 89% to win, from the line · really won 38–17
Wk 3 · at Florida State · 33% to win, from the line · really won 20–12
Wk 4 · at Navy · 72% to win, from the line · really lost 44–56
Wk 5 · vs Middle Tennessee · 97% to win, from the line · really won 24–7
Wk 7 · vs South Florida · 76% to win, from the line · really won 21–3
Wk 8 · vs North Texas · 76% to win, from the line · really won 52–44
Wk 9 · vs Charlotte · 86% to win, from the line · really won 33–28
Wk 10 · at UTSA · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 36–44
Wk 11 · vs Rice · 69% to win, from the line · really won 27–20
Wk 12 · vs UAB · 88% to win, from the line · really won 53–18
Wk 14 · at Tulane · 20% to win, from the line · really won 34–24
Ranked by the committee’s final ranking in your season. Playoff resume rates what a team did, from 0 to 99: wins over good teams lift it and losses to weak ones sink it, measured against what a playoff-bubble team would do with the same schedule. Projected record has the favorite winning every game nobody has decided, title game included. Power rating is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. Make playoff is the share of 1,000 simulated seasons that put the team in the field. Tap a team to see and change its games.
Pick the winners, week by week
Week 14Already played
Washington 6–6 at No. 1 Oregon 12–0 · Really: Oregon won 49–21
Georgia Tech 7–5 at No. 2 Georgia 10–2 · Really: Georgia won 44–42
No. 3 Texas 11–1 at Texas A&M 8–4 · Really: Texas won 17–7
Maryland 4–8 at No. 4 Penn State 11–1 · Really: Penn State won 44–7
No. 5 Notre Dame 11–1 at USC 6–6 · Really: Notre Dame won 49–35
Michigan 7–5 at No. 6 Ohio State 10–2 · Really: Michigan won 13–10
No. 7 Tennessee 10–2 at Vanderbilt 6–6 · Really: Tennessee won 36–23
Purdue 1–11 at No. 8 Indiana 11–1 · Really: Indiana won 66–0
Oregon State 5–7 at No. 9 Boise State 11–1 · Really: Boise State won 34–18
California 6–6 at No. 10 SMU 11–1 · Really: SMU won 38–6
Auburn 5–7 at No. 11 Alabama 9–3 · Really: Alabama won 28–14
No. 12 Arizona State 10–2 at Arizona 4–8 · Really: Arizona State won 49–7
No. 13 Miami 10–2 at No. 21 Syracuse 9–3 · Really: Syracuse won 42–38
Mississippi State 2–10 at No. 14 Ole Miss 9–3 · Really: Ole Miss won 26–14
No. 15 South Carolina 9–3 at No. 16 Clemson 9–3 · Really: South Carolina won 17–14
Houston 4–8 at No. 17 BYU 10–2 · Really: BYU won 30–18
Kansas State 8–4 at No. 18 Iowa State 10–2 · Really: Iowa State won 29–21
Arkansas 6–6 at No. 19 Missouri 9–3 · Really: Missouri won 28–21
No. 20 Illinois 9–3 vs Northwestern 4–8 · Really: Illinois won 38–28
UTSA 6–6 at No. 22 Army 10–1 · Really: Army won 29–24
Oklahoma State 3–9 at No. 23 Colorado 9–3 · Really: Colorado won 52–0
Nevada 3–10 at No. 24 UNLV 10–2 · Really: UNLV won 38–14
No. 25 Memphis 10–2 at Tulane 9–3 · Really: Memphis won 34–24
Records are through week 14 and change as you pick or sim. Tap a team to make it win. Percentages are each team’s chance to win, from the betting line when there is one. Red means the underdog wins.
Top 25
Final rankingReal committee ranking
1Oregon 13–0
2Georgia 11–2▲3
3Texas 11–2▼1
4Penn State 11–2▼1
5Notre Dame 11–1▼1
6Ohio State 10–2
7Tennessee 10–2
8Indiana 11–1▲1
9Boise State 12–1▲1
10SMU 11–2▼2
11Alabama 9–3
12Arizona State 11–2▲3
13Miami 10–2▼1
14Ole Miss 9–3▼1
15South Carolina 9–3▼1
16Clemson 10–3▲1
17BYU 10–2▲1
18Iowa State 10–3▼2
19Missouri 9–3
20Illinois 9–3▲1
21Syracuse 9–3▲1
22Army 11–2new
23Colorado 9–3
24UNLV 10–3▼4
25Memphis 10–2▼1
This is the ranking going into the week you’re picking, and it moves with the week arrows. The real AP poll and committee ranking show until the first week that goes differently from real life. After that we project them: every result moves teams the way real voters and the committee have from 2014 to 2025. A ranked team that loses to an unranked one drops about eight spots and falls out more often than not; an unranked team that beats a top-10 team can jump straight in. The committee’s last ranking picks your playoff field.
OregonBig Ten · No. 1 seed, champion9113–0+14.6…
GeorgiaSEC · No. 2 seed, champion8611–2+12.6…
TexasSEC · No. 3 seed7911–2+16.3…
Penn StateBig Ten · No. 4 seed7911–2+12.9…
Notre DameFBS Independents · No. 5 seed8311–1+18.1…
Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 6 seed7710–2+18.0…
TennesseeSEC · No. 7 seed7410–2+9.7…
IndianaBig Ten · No. 8 seed7711–1+13.0…
Boise StateMountain West · No. 9 seed, Group of 6 bid7912–1+10.7…
SMUACC · No. 10 seed7611–2+13.1…
AlabamaSEC729–3+13.1…
Arizona StateBig 12 · No. 11 seed, champion7611–2+9.2…
MiamiACC7510–2+12.7…
Ole MissSEC689–3+13.3…
South CarolinaSEC739–3+12.0…
ClemsonACC · No. 12 seed, champion7110–3+10.0…
BYUBig 127510–2+8.7…
Iowa StateBig 126910–3+6.3…
MissouriSEC689–3+4.8…
IllinoisBig Ten699–3+4.4…
SyracuseACC699–3+3.9…
ArmyAmerican Athletic7011–2+7.6…
ColoradoBig 12669–3+8.2…
UNLVMountain West6410–3+6.8…
MemphisAmerican Athletic6710–2+4.4…
Washington 6–6 at 
Georgia Tech 7–5 at 
Texas A&M 8–4
Maryland 4–8 at 
USC 6–6
Michigan 7–5 at 
Vanderbilt 6–6
Purdue 1–11 at 
Oregon State 5–7 at 
California 6–6 at 
Auburn 5–7 at 
Arizona 4–8
Mississippi State 2–10 at 
Houston 4–8 at 
Kansas State 8–4 at 
Arkansas 6–6 at 
Northwestern 4–8
UTSA 6–6 at 
Oklahoma State 3–9 at 
Nevada 3–10 at 
Tulane 9–3