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194upsets in your season
Pick a winner anywhere to see the odds of your version of the season. Games nobody has decided go to the favorite. Playoff odds come from playing the rest out 1,000 times, with your results locked in.
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First round
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Tap a team to send it through. Gold marks the winner of each game, red an underdog winner; the number under each seed is the chance to win that game. The top four seeds get a first-round bye. How the 12-team playoff works
First teams out: Oklahoma, LSU, Arizona, Louisville.
Record through week 13: 12–0 · title chance … · power rating +14.9
Wk 1 · vs No. 13 LSU · 43% to win, from the line · really won 45–24
Wk 2 · vs Southern Miss · 98% to win, from the line · really won 66–13
Wk 3 · at Boston College · 95% to win, from the line · really won 31–29
Wk 4 · at No. 22 Clemson · 55% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 6 · vs Virginia Tech · 95% to win, from the line · really won 39–17
Wk 7 · vs Syracuse · 89% to win, from the line · really won 41–3
Wk 8 · vs Duke · 83% to win, from the line · really won 38–20
Wk 9 · at Wake Forest · 91% to win, from the line · really won 41–16
Wk 10 · at Pittsburgh · 91% to win, from the line · really won 24–7
Wk 11 · vs Miami · 85% to win, from the line · really won 27–20
Wk 12 · vs North Alabama · >99% to win · really won 58–13
Wk 13 · at Florida · 67% to win, from the line · really won 24–15
7Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 7 seed8511–1+18.0…
Record through week 13: 11–1 · title chance … · power rating +18.0
Wk 1 · at Indiana · 97% to win, from the line · really won 23–3
Wk 2 · vs Youngstown State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 35–7
Wk 3 · vs Western Kentucky · 98% to win, from the line · really won 63–10
Wk 4 · at No. 16 Notre Dame · 59% to win, from the line · really won 17–14
Wk 6 · vs Maryland · 91% to win, from the line · really won 37–17
Wk 7 · at Purdue · 89% to win, from the line · really won 41–7
Wk 8 · vs No. 10 Penn State · 61% to win, from the line · really won 20–12
Wk 9 · at Wisconsin · 83% to win, from the line · really won 24–10
Wk 10 · at Rutgers · 89% to win, from the line · really won 35–16
Wk 11 · vs Michigan State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 38–3
Wk 12 · vs Minnesota · 97% to win, from the line · really won 37–3
Wk 13 · at No. 1 Michigan · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 24–30
8OregonPac-12 · No. 8 seed7511–2+16.2…
Record through week 13: 11–1 · title chance … · power rating +16.2
Wk 1 · vs Portland State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 81–7
Wk 2 · at Texas Tech · 66% to win, from the line · really won 38–30
Wk 3 · vs Hawai'i · 99% to win, from the line · really won 55–10
Wk 4 · vs Colorado · 92% to win, from the line · really won 42–6
Wk 5 · at Stanford · 96% to win, from the line · really won 42–6
Wk 7 · at No. 2 Washington · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 33–36
Wk 8 · vs Washington State · 91% to win, from the line · really won 38–24
Wk 9 · at Utah · 67% to win, from the line · really won 35–6
Wk 10 · vs California · 96% to win, from the line · really won 63–19
Wk 11 · vs USC · 86% to win, from the line · really won 36–27
Wk 12 · at Arizona State · 92% to win, from the line · really won 49–13
Wk 13 · vs No. 19 Oregon State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–7
9MissouriSEC · No. 9 seed7510–2+10.2…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +10.2
Wk 1 · vs South Dakota · 96% to win, from the line · really won 35–10
Wk 2 · vs Middle Tennessee · 92% to win, from the line · really won 23–19
Wk 3 · vs No. 25 Kansas State · 45% to win, from the line · really won 30–27
Wk 4 · vs Memphis · 67% to win, from the line · really won 34–27
Wk 5 · at Vanderbilt · 82% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 6 · vs No. 13 LSU · 40% to win, from the line · really lost 39–49
Wk 7 · at Kentucky · 43% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 8 · vs South Carolina · 69% to win, from the line · really won 34–12
Wk 10 · at No. 5 Georgia · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 21–30
Wk 11 · vs No. 21 Tennessee · 43% to win, from the line · really won 36–7
Wk 12 · vs Florida · 80% to win, from the line · really won 33–31
Wk 13 · at Arkansas · 74% to win, from the line · really won 48–14
10Penn StateBig Ten · No. 10 seed7510–2+16.2…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +16.2
Wk 1 · vs West Virginia · 91% to win, from the line · really won 38–15
Wk 2 · vs Delaware · >99% to win, from the line · really won 63–7
Wk 3 · at Illinois · 80% to win, from the line · really won 30–13
Wk 4 · vs No. 17 Iowa · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–0
Wk 5 · at Northwestern · 96% to win, from the line · really won 41–13
Wk 7 · vs Massachusetts · >99% to win, from the line · really won 63–0
Wk 8 · at No. 7 Ohio State · 40% to win, from the line · really lost 12–20
Wk 9 · vs Indiana · 98% to win, from the line · really won 33–24
Wk 10 · at Maryland · 69% to win, from the line · really won 51–15
Wk 11 · vs No. 1 Michigan · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 15–24
Wk 12 · vs Rutgers · 90% to win, from the line · really won 27–6
Wk 13 · vs Michigan State · 91% to win, from the line · really won 42–0
11Ole MissSEC · No. 11 seed7510–2+8.5…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +8.5
Wk 1 · vs Mercer · 99% to win, from the line · really won 73–7
Wk 2 · at Tulane · 72% to win, from the line · really won 37–20
Wk 3 · vs Georgia Tech · 87% to win, from the line · really won 48–23
Wk 4 · at No. 4 Alabama · 32% to win, from the line · really lost 10–24
Wk 5 · vs No. 13 LSU · 43% to win, from the line · really won 55–49
Wk 6 · vs Arkansas · 78% to win, from the line · really won 27–20
Wk 8 · at Auburn · 67% to win, from the line · really won 28–21
Wk 9 · vs Vanderbilt · 95% to win, from the line · really won 33–7
Wk 10 · vs Texas A&M · 59% to win, from the line · really won 38–35
Wk 11 · at No. 5 Georgia · 24% to win, from the line · really lost 17–52
Wk 12 · vs UL Monroe · 99% to win, from the line · really won 35–3
Wk 13 · at Mississippi State · 76% to win, from the line · really won 17–7
12OklahomaBig 127510–2+14.9…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +14.9
Wk 1 · vs Arkansas State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 73–0
Wk 2 · vs No. 24 SMU · 86% to win, from the line · really won 28–11
Wk 3 · at Tulsa · 97% to win, from the line · really won 66–17
Wk 4 · at Cincinnati · 83% to win, from the line · really won 20–6
Wk 5 · vs Iowa State · 91% to win, from the line · really won 50–20
Wk 6 · vs No. 3 Texas · 36% to win, from the line · really won 34–30
Wk 8 · vs UCF · 88% to win, from the line · really won 31–29
Wk 9 · at Kansas · 73% to win, from the line · really lost 33–38
Wk 10 · at No. 20 Oklahoma State · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 24–27
Wk 11 · vs West Virginia · 82% to win, from the line · really won 59–20
Wk 12 · at BYU · 95% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 13 · vs TCU · 78% to win, from the line · really won 69–45
13LSUSEC699–3+11.7…
Record through week 13: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +11.7
Wk 1 · vs No. 6 Florida State · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 24–45
Wk 2 · vs Grambling · >99% to win, from the line · really won 72–10
Wk 3 · at Mississippi State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 41–14
Wk 4 · vs Arkansas · 88% to win, from the line · really won 34–31
Wk 5 · at No. 11 Ole Miss · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 49–55
Wk 6 · at No. 9 Missouri · 61% to win, from the line · really won 49–39
Wk 7 · vs Auburn · 78% to win, from the line · really won 48–18
Wk 8 · vs Army · 99% to win, from the line · really won 62–0
Wk 10 · at No. 4 Alabama · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 28–42
Wk 11 · vs Florida · 86% to win, from the line · really won 52–35
Wk 12 · vs Georgia State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 56–14
Wk 13 · vs Texas A&M · 76% to win, from the line · really won 42–30
14ArizonaPac-12649–3+8.6…
Record through week 13: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +8.6
Wk 1 · vs Northern Arizona · 97% to win, from the line · really won 38–3
Wk 2 · at Mississippi State · 29% to win, from the line · really lost 24–31
Wk 3 · vs UTEP · 89% to win, from the line · really won 31–10
Wk 4 · at Stanford · 80% to win, from the line · really won 21–20
Wk 5 · vs No. 2 Washington · 9% to win, from the line · really lost 24–31
Wk 6 · at USC · 8% to win, from the line · really lost 41–43
Wk 7 · at Washington State · 31% to win, from the line · really won 44–6
Wk 9 · vs No. 19 Oregon State · 41% to win, from the line · really won 27–24
Wk 10 · vs UCLA · 43% to win, from the line · really won 27–10
Wk 11 · at Colorado · 70% to win, from the line · really won 34–31
Wk 12 · vs Utah · 57% to win, from the line · really won 42–18
Wk 13 · at Arizona State · 80% to win, from the line · really won 59–23
15LouisvilleACC6810–3+8.2…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +8.2
Wk 1 · vs Georgia Tech · 70% to win, from the line · really won 39–34
Wk 2 · vs Murray State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–0
Wk 3 · vs Indiana · 75% to win, from the line · really won 21–14
Wk 4 · vs Boston College · 83% to win, from the line · really won 56–28
Wk 5 · at No. 18 NC State · 59% to win, from the line · really won 13–10
Wk 6 · vs No. 16 Notre Dame · 35% to win, from the line · really won 33–20
Wk 7 · at Pittsburgh · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 21–38
Wk 9 · vs Duke · 62% to win, from the line · really won 23–0
Wk 10 · vs Virginia Tech · 74% to win, from the line · really won 34–3
Wk 11 · vs Virginia · 91% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 12 · at Miami · 46% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 13 · vs Kentucky · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 31–38
16Notre DameFBS Independents669–3+13.7…
Record through week 13: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +13.7
Wk 1 · vs Navy · 91% to win, from the line · really won 42–3
Wk 1 · vs Tennessee State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–3
Wk 2 · at No. 18 NC State · 68% to win, from the line · really won 45–24
Wk 3 · vs Central Michigan · 99% to win, from the line · really won 41–17
Wk 4 · vs No. 7 Ohio State · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 14–17
Wk 5 · at Duke · 64% to win, from the line · really won 21–14
Wk 6 · at No. 15 Louisville · 66% to win, from the line · really lost 20–33
Wk 7 · vs USC · 57% to win, from the line · really won 48–20
Wk 9 · vs Pittsburgh · 91% to win, from the line · really won 58–7
Wk 10 · at No. 22 Clemson · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 23–31
Wk 12 · vs Wake Forest · 93% to win, from the line · really won 45–7
Wk 13 · at Stanford · 96% to win, from the line · really won 56–23
17IowaBig Ten6910–3+4.2…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +4.2
Wk 1 · vs Utah State · 94% to win, from the line · really won 24–14
Wk 2 · at Iowa State · 59% to win, from the line · really won 20–13
Wk 3 · vs Western Michigan · 97% to win, from the line · really won 41–10
Wk 4 · at No. 10 Penn State · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 0–31
Wk 5 · vs Michigan State · 80% to win, from the line · really won 26–16
Wk 6 · vs Purdue · 57% to win, from the line · really won 20–14
Wk 7 · at Wisconsin · 26% to win, from the line · really won 15–6
Wk 8 · vs Minnesota · 59% to win, from the line · really lost 10–12
Wk 10 · vs Northwestern · 64% to win, from the line · really won 10–7
Wk 11 · vs Rutgers · 43% to win, from the line · really won 22–0
Wk 12 · vs Illinois · 57% to win, from the line · really won 15–13
Wk 13 · at Nebraska · 42% to win, from the line · really won 13–10
18NC StateACC669–3+5.1…
Record through week 13: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +5.1
Wk 1 · at UConn · 86% to win, from the line · really won 24–14
Wk 2 · vs No. 16 Notre Dame · 32% to win, from the line · really lost 24–45
Wk 3 · vs VMI · >99% to win, from the line · really won 45–7
Wk 4 · at Virginia · 69% to win, from the line · really won 24–21
Wk 5 · vs No. 15 Louisville · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 10–13
Wk 6 · vs Marshall · 67% to win, from the line · really won 48–41
Wk 7 · at Duke · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 3–24
Wk 9 · vs No. 22 Clemson · 25% to win, from the line · really won 24–17
Wk 10 · vs Miami · 35% to win, from the line · really won 20–6
Wk 11 · at Wake Forest · 49% to win, from the line · really won 26–6
Wk 12 · at Virginia Tech · 43% to win, from the line · really won 35–28
Wk 13 · vs North Carolina · 45% to win, from the line · really won 39–20
19Oregon StatePac-12618–4+9.1…
Record through week 13: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +9.1
Wk 1 · at San José State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 42–17
Wk 2 · vs UC Davis · 94% to win, from the line · really won 55–7
Wk 3 · vs San Diego State · 95% to win, from the line · really won 26–9
Wk 4 · at Washington State · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 35–38
Wk 5 · vs Utah · 59% to win, from the line · really won 21–7
Wk 6 · at California · 74% to win, from the line · really won 52–40
Wk 7 · vs UCLA · 59% to win, from the line · really won 36–24
Wk 9 · at No. 14 Arizona · 59% to win, from the line · really lost 24–27
Wk 10 · at Colorado · 82% to win, from the line · really won 26–19
Wk 11 · vs Stanford · 92% to win, from the line · really won 62–17
Wk 12 · vs No. 2 Washington · 54% to win, from the line · really lost 20–22
Wk 13 · at No. 8 Oregon · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 7–31
20Oklahoma StateBig 12639–4+2.2…
Record through week 13: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +2.2
Wk 1 · vs Central Arkansas · 96% to win, from the line · really won 27–13
Wk 2 · at Arizona State · 57% to win, from the line · really won 27–15
Wk 3 · vs South Alabama · 68% to win, from the line · really lost 7–33
Wk 4 · at Iowa State · 41% to win, from the line · really lost 27–34
Wk 6 · vs No. 25 Kansas State · 22% to win, from the line · really won 29–21
Wk 7 · vs Kansas · 42% to win, from the line · really won 39–32
Wk 8 · at West Virginia · 42% to win, from the line · really won 48–34
Wk 9 · vs Cincinnati · 69% to win, from the line · really won 45–13
Wk 10 · vs No. 12 Oklahoma · 31% to win, from the line · really won 27–24
Wk 11 · at UCF · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 3–45
Wk 12 · at Houston · 67% to win, from the line · really won 43–30
Wk 13 · vs BYU · 86% to win, from the line · really won 40–34
21TennesseeSEC618–4+6.0…
Record through week 13: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +6.0
Wk 1 · vs Virginia · 97% to win, from the line · really won 49–13
Wk 2 · vs Austin Peay · >99% to win, from the line · really won 30–13
Wk 3 · at Florida · 68% to win, from the line · really lost 16–29
Wk 4 · vs UTSA · 92% to win, from the line · really won 45–14
Wk 5 · vs South Carolina · 80% to win, from the line · really won 41–20
Wk 7 · vs Texas A&M · 58% to win, from the line · really won 20–13
Wk 8 · at No. 4 Alabama · 26% to win, from the line · really lost 20–34
Wk 9 · at Kentucky · 59% to win, from the line · really won 33–27
Wk 10 · vs UConn · 99% to win, from the line · really won 59–3
Wk 11 · at No. 9 Missouri · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 7–36
Wk 12 · vs No. 5 Georgia · 28% to win, from the line · really lost 10–38
Wk 13 · vs Vanderbilt · 97% to win, from the line · really won 48–24
22ClemsonACC618–4+7.3…
Record through week 13: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +7.3
Wk 1 · at Duke · 80% to win, from the line · really lost 7–28
Wk 2 · vs Charleston Southern · >99% to win, from the line · really won 66–17
Wk 3 · vs Florida Atlantic · 95% to win, from the line · really won 48–14
Wk 4 · vs No. 6 Florida State · 45% to win, from the line · really lost 24–31
Wk 5 · at Syracuse · 67% to win, from the line · really won 31–14
Wk 6 · vs Wake Forest · 92% to win, from the line · really won 17–12
Wk 8 · at Miami · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 20–28
Wk 9 · at No. 18 NC State · 75% to win, from the line · really lost 17–24
Wk 10 · vs No. 16 Notre Dame · 43% to win, from the line · really won 31–23
Wk 11 · vs Georgia Tech · 88% to win, from the line · really won 42–21
Wk 12 · vs North Carolina · 69% to win, from the line · really won 31–20
Wk 13 · at South Carolina · 69% to win, from the line · really won 16–7
23LibertyConference USA · No. 12 seed, Group of 6 bid7913–0+10.6…
Record through week 13: 12–0 · title chance … · power rating +10.6
Wk 1 · vs Bowling Green · 74% to win, from the line · really won 34–24
Wk 2 · vs New Mexico State · 74% to win, from the line · really won 33–17
Wk 3 · at Buffalo · 58% to win, from the line · really won 55–27
Wk 4 · at Florida International · 75% to win, from the line · really won 38–6
Wk 6 · vs Sam Houston · 90% to win, from the line · really won 21–16
Wk 7 · at Jacksonville State · 66% to win, from the line · really won 31–13
Wk 8 · vs Middle Tennessee · 83% to win, from the line · really won 42–35
Wk 9 · at Western Kentucky · 61% to win, from the line · really won 42–29
Wk 10 · vs Louisiana Tech · 83% to win, from the line · really won 56–30
Wk 11 · vs Old Dominion · 82% to win, from the line · really won 38–10
Wk 12 · vs Massachusetts · 96% to win, from the line · really won 49–25
Wk 13 · at UTEP · 88% to win, from the line · really won 42–28
24SMUAmerican Athletic6911–2+9.1…
Record through week 13: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.1
Wk 1 · vs Louisiana Tech · 91% to win, from the line · really won 38–14
Wk 2 · at No. 12 Oklahoma · 14% to win, from the line · really lost 11–28
Wk 3 · vs Prairie View A&M · >99% to win, from the line · really won 69–0
Wk 4 · at TCU · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 17–34
Wk 5 · vs Charlotte · 94% to win, from the line · really won 34–16
Wk 7 · at East Carolina · 77% to win, from the line · really won 31–10
Wk 8 · at Temple · 93% to win, from the line · really won 55–0
Wk 9 · vs Tulsa · 91% to win, from the line · really won 69–10
Wk 10 · at Rice · 80% to win, from the line · really won 36–31
Wk 11 · vs North Texas · 92% to win, from the line · really won 45–21
Wk 12 · at Memphis · 74% to win, from the line · really won 38–34
Wk 13 · vs Navy · 91% to win, from the line · really won 59–14
25Kansas StateBig 12638–4+13.3…
Record through week 13: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +13.3
Wk 1 · vs Southeast Missouri State · 97% to win, from the line · really won 45–0
Wk 2 · vs Troy · 83% to win, from the line · really won 42–13
Wk 3 · at No. 9 Missouri · 55% to win, from the line · really lost 27–30
Wk 4 · vs UCF · 59% to win, from the line · really won 44–31
Wk 6 · at No. 20 Oklahoma State · 78% to win, from the line · really lost 21–29
Wk 7 · at Texas Tech · 46% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 8 · vs TCU · 66% to win, from the line · really won 41–3
Wk 9 · vs Houston · 88% to win, from the line · really won 41–0
Wk 10 · at No. 3 Texas · 40% to win, from the line · really lost 30–33
Wk 11 · vs Baylor · 91% to win, from the line · really won 59–25
Wk 12 · at Kansas · 69% to win, from the line · really won 31–27
Wk 13 · vs Iowa State · 74% to win, from the line · really lost 35–42
Ranked by the committee’s final ranking in your season. Playoff resume rates what a team did, from 0 to 99: wins over good teams lift it and losses to weak ones sink it, measured against what a playoff-bubble team would do with the same schedule. Projected record has the favorite winning every game nobody has decided, title game included. Power rating is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. Make playoff is the share of 1,000 simulated seasons that put the team in the field. Tap a team to see and change its games.
Pick the winners, week by week
Week 13Already played
No. 7 Ohio State 11–1 at No. 1 Michigan 12–0 · Really: Michigan won 30–24
Washington State 5–7 at No. 2 Washington 12–0 · Really: Washington won 24–21
Texas Tech 6–6 at No. 3 Texas 11–1 · Really: Texas won 57–7
No. 4 Alabama 11–1 at Auburn 6–6 · Really: Alabama won 27–24
No. 5 Georgia 12–0 at Georgia Tech 6–6 · Really: Georgia won 31–23
No. 6 Florida State 12–0 at Florida 5–7 · Really: Florida State won 24–15
No. 19 Oregon State 8–4 at No. 8 Oregon 11–1 · Really: Oregon won 31–7
No. 9 Missouri 10–2 at Arkansas 4–8 · Really: Missouri won 48–14
No. 10 Penn State 10–2 vs Michigan State 4–8 · Really: Penn State won 42–0
No. 11 Ole Miss 10–2 at Mississippi State 5–7 · Really: Ole Miss won 17–7
TCU 5–7 at No. 12 Oklahoma 10–2 · Really: Oklahoma won 69–45
Texas A&M 7–5 at No. 13 LSU 9–3 · Really: LSU won 42–30
No. 14 Arizona 9–3 at Arizona State 3–9 · Really: Arizona won 59–23
Kentucky 7–5 at No. 15 Louisville 10–2 · Really: Kentucky won 38–31
No. 16 Notre Dame 9–3 at Stanford 3–9 · Really: Notre Dame won 56–23
No. 17 Iowa 10–2 at Nebraska 5–7 · Really: Iowa won 13–10
North Carolina 8–4 at No. 18 NC State 9–3 · Really: NC State won 39–20
BYU 5–7 at No. 20 Oklahoma State 9–3 · Really: Oklahoma State won 40–34
Vanderbilt 2–10 at No. 21 Tennessee 8–4 · Really: Tennessee won 48–24
No. 22 Clemson 8–4 at South Carolina 5–7 · Really: Clemson won 16–7
No. 23 Liberty 12–0 at UTEP 3–9 · Really: Liberty won 42–28
Navy 5–6 at No. 24 SMU 10–2 · Really: SMU won 59–14
Iowa State 7–5 at No. 25 Kansas State 8–4 · Really: Iowa State won 42–35
Records are through week 13 and change as you pick or sim. Tap a team to make it win. Percentages are each team’s chance to win, from the betting line when there is one. Red means the underdog wins.
Top 25
Final rankingReal committee ranking
1Michigan 13–0▲1
2Washington 13–0▲1
3Texas 12–1▲4
4Alabama 12–1▲4
5Georgia 12–1▼4
6Florida State 13–0▼2
7Ohio State 11–1▼1
8Oregon 11–2▼3
9Missouri 10–2
10Penn State 10–2
11Ole Miss 10–2
12Oklahoma 10–2
13LSU 9–3
14Arizona 9–3▲1
15Louisville 10–3▼1
16Notre Dame 9–3▲1
17Iowa 10–3▼1
18NC State 9–3▲1
19Oregon State 8–4▲1
20Oklahoma State 9–4▼2
21Tennessee 8–4
22Clemson 8–4▲1
23Liberty 13–0▲1
24SMU 11–2new
25Kansas State 8–4
This is the ranking going into the week you’re picking, and it moves with the week arrows. The real AP poll and committee ranking show until the first week that goes differently from real life. After that we project them: every result moves teams the way real voters and the committee have from 2014 to 2025. A ranked team that loses to an unranked one drops about eight spots and falls out more often than not; an unranked team that beats a top-10 team can jump straight in. The committee’s last ranking picks your playoff field.
MichiganBig Ten · No. 1 seed, champion9113–0+21.0…
WashingtonPac-12 · No. 2 seed, champion9313–0+13.7…
TexasBig 12 · No. 3 seed, champion8612–1+17.4…
AlabamaSEC · No. 4 seed, champion8612–1+13.5…
GeorgiaSEC · No. 5 seed8112–1+15.8…
Florida StateACC · No. 6 seed, champion8813–0+14.9…
Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 7 seed8511–1+18.0…
OregonPac-12 · No. 8 seed7511–2+16.2…
MissouriSEC · No. 9 seed7510–2+10.2…
Penn StateBig Ten · No. 10 seed7510–2+16.2…
Ole MissSEC · No. 11 seed7510–2+8.5…
OklahomaBig 127510–2+14.9…
LSUSEC699–3+11.7…
ArizonaPac-12649–3+8.6…
LouisvilleACC6810–3+8.2…
Notre DameFBS Independents669–3+13.7…
IowaBig Ten6910–3+4.2…
NC StateACC669–3+5.1…
Oregon StatePac-12618–4+9.1…
Oklahoma StateBig 12639–4+2.2…
TennesseeSEC618–4+6.0…
ClemsonACC618–4+7.3…
LibertyConference USA · No. 12 seed, Group of 6 bid7913–0+10.6…
SMUAmerican Athletic6911–2+9.1…
Kansas StateBig 12638–4+13.3…
Washington State 5–7 at 
Texas Tech 6–6 at 
Auburn 6–6
Georgia Tech 6–6
Florida 5–7
Arkansas 4–8
Michigan State 4–8
Mississippi State 5–7
TCU 5–7 at 
Texas A&M 7–5 at 
Arizona State 3–9
Kentucky 7–5 at 
Stanford 3–9
Nebraska 5–7
North Carolina 8–4 at 
BYU 5–7 at 
Vanderbilt 2–10 at 
South Carolina 5–7
UTEP 3–9
Navy 5–6 at 
Iowa State 7–5 at