Flip any 2020 result or replay the season from any week, and see who would make today's 12-team playoff.
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Alabamayour national champion
–chance your picks all come true
133upsets in your season
Pick a winner anywhere to see the odds of your version of the season. Games nobody has decided go to the favorite. Playoff odds come from playing the rest out 1,000 times, with your results locked in.
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First round
Quarterfinals
Semifinals
Championship
Tap a team to send it through. Gold marks the winner of each game, red an underdog winner; the number under each seed is the chance to win that game. The top four seeds get a first-round bye. How the 12-team playoff works
First teams out: Indiana, North Carolina, Iowa, BYU.
Record through week 16: 10–0 · title chance … · power rating +20.9
Wk 4 · at Missouri · 97% to win, from the line · really won 38–19
Wk 5 · vs No. 4 Texas A&M · 89% to win, from the line · really won 52–24
Wk 6 · at Ole Miss · 95% to win, from the line · really won 63–48
Wk 7 · vs No. 7 Georgia · 66% to win, from the line · really won 41–24
Wk 8 · at Tennessee · 92% to win, from the line · really won 48–17
Wk 9 · vs Mississippi State · 98% to win, from the line · really won 41–0
Wk 12 · vs Kentucky · 98% to win, from the line · really won 63–3
Wk 13 · vs Auburn · 95% to win, from the line · really won 42–13
Wk 14 · at LSU · 97% to win, from the line · really won 55–17
Wk 15 · at Arkansas · 98% to win, from the line · really won 52–3
2ClemsonACC · No. 2 seed, champion8210–1+17.0…
Record through week 16: 9–1 · title chance … · power rating +17.0
Wk 2 · at Wake Forest · 99% to win, from the line · really won 37–13
Wk 3 · vs The Citadel · >99% to win, from the line · really won 49–0
Wk 5 · vs Virginia · 97% to win, from the line · really won 41–23
Wk 6 · vs No. 17 Miami · 83% to win, from the line · really won 42–17
Wk 7 · at Georgia Tech · 96% to win, from the line · really won 73–7
Wk 8 · vs Syracuse · >99% to win, from the line · really won 47–21
Wk 9 · vs Boston College · 96% to win, from the line · really won 34–28
Wk 10 · at No. 5 Notre Dame · 63% to win, from the line · really lost 40–47
Wk 13 · vs Pittsburgh · 95% to win, from the line · really won 52–17
Wk 14 · at Virginia Tech · 94% to win, from the line · really won 45–10
3Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 3 seed, champion796–0+14.0…
Record through week 16: 5–0 · title chance … · power rating +14.0
Wk 8 · vs Nebraska · 97% to win, from the line · really won 52–17
Wk 9 · at Penn State · 75% to win, from the line · really won 38–25
Wk 10 · vs Rutgers · 99% to win, from the line · really won 49–27
Wk 12 · vs No. 12 Indiana · 92% to win, from the line · really won 42–35
Wk 14 · at Michigan State · 93% to win, from the line · really won 52–12
4Texas A&MSEC · No. 4 seed798–1+7.4…
Record through week 16: 8–1 · title chance … · power rating +7.4
Wk 4 · vs Vanderbilt · 98% to win, from the line · really won 17–12
Wk 5 · at No. 1 Alabama · 12% to win, from the line · really lost 24–52
Wk 6 · vs No. 9 Florida · 35% to win, from the line · really won 41–38
Wk 7 · at Mississippi State · 62% to win, from the line · really won 28–14
Wk 9 · vs Arkansas · 83% to win, from the line · really won 42–31
Wk 10 · at South Carolina · 74% to win, from the line · really won 48–3
Wk 13 · vs LSU · 85% to win, from the line · really won 20–7
Wk 14 · at Auburn · 66% to win, from the line · really won 31–20
Wk 16 · at Tennessee · 82% to win, from the line · really won 34–13
5Notre DameACC · No. 5 seed8310–1+11.1…
Record through week 16: 10–0 · title chance … · power rating +11.1
Wk 2 · vs Duke · 92% to win, from the line · really won 27–13
Wk 3 · vs South Florida · 93% to win, from the line · really won 52–0
Wk 6 · vs Florida State · 91% to win, from the line · really won 42–26
Wk 7 · vs Louisville · 85% to win, from the line · really won 12–7
Wk 8 · at Pittsburgh · 75% to win, from the line · really won 45–3
Wk 9 · at Georgia Tech · 91% to win, from the line · really won 31–13
Wk 10 · vs No. 2 Clemson · 37% to win, from the line · really won 47–40
Wk 11 · at Boston College · 81% to win, from the line · really won 45–31
Wk 13 · at No. 13 North Carolina · 62% to win, from the line · really won 31–17
Wk 14 · vs Syracuse · 99% to win, from the line · really won 45–21
6OklahomaBig 12 · No. 6 seed, champion728–2+10.5…
Record through week 16: 7–2 · title chance … · power rating +10.5
Wk 2 · vs Missouri State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 48–0
Wk 4 · vs Kansas State · 97% to win, from the line · really lost 35–38
Wk 5 · at No. 10 Iowa State · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 30–37
Wk 6 · vs No. 19 Texas · 58% to win, from the line · really won 53–45
Wk 8 · at TCU · 67% to win, from the line · really won 33–14
Wk 9 · at Texas Tech · 86% to win, from the line · really won 62–28
Wk 10 · vs Kansas · >99% to win, from the line · really won 62–9
Wk 12 · vs No. 20 Oklahoma State · 67% to win, from the line · really won 41–13
Wk 14 · vs Baylor · 94% to win, from the line · really won 27–14
7GeorgiaSEC · No. 7 seed737–2+11.4…
Record through week 16: 7–2 · title chance … · power rating +11.4
Wk 4 · at Arkansas · 97% to win, from the line · really won 37–10
Wk 5 · vs Auburn · 69% to win, from the line · really won 27–6
Wk 6 · vs Tennessee · 79% to win, from the line · really won 44–21
Wk 7 · at No. 1 Alabama · 35% to win, from the line · really lost 24–41
Wk 9 · at Kentucky · 87% to win, from the line · really won 14–3
Wk 10 · vs No. 9 Florida · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 28–44
Wk 12 · vs Mississippi State · 96% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 13 · at South Carolina · 93% to win, from the line · really won 45–16
Wk 15 · at Missouri · 83% to win, from the line · really won 49–14
8CincinnatiAmerican Athletic · No. 8 seed, Group of 6 bid839–0+14.6…
Record through week 16: 8–0 · title chance … · power rating +14.6
Wk 3 · vs Austin Peay · >99% to win, from the line · really won 55–20
Wk 4 · vs Army · 80% to win, from the line · really won 24–10
Wk 5 · vs South Florida · 93% to win, from the line · really won 28–7
Wk 8 · at SMU · 47% to win, from the line · really won 42–13
Wk 9 · vs Memphis · 67% to win, from the line · really won 49–10
Wk 10 · vs Houston · 80% to win, from the line · really won 38–10
Wk 11 · vs East Carolina · 97% to win, from the line · really won 55–17
Wk 12 · at No. 25 UCF · 62% to win, from the line · really won 36–33
9FloridaSEC · No. 9 seed698–3+11.3…
Record through week 16: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +11.3
Wk 4 · at Ole Miss · 83% to win, from the line · really won 51–35
Wk 5 · vs South Carolina · 83% to win, from the line · really won 38–24
Wk 6 · at No. 4 Texas A&M · 66% to win, from the line · really lost 38–41
Wk 9 · vs Missouri · 82% to win, from the line · really won 41–17
Wk 10 · vs No. 7 Georgia · 42% to win, from the line · really won 44–28
Wk 11 · vs Arkansas · 87% to win, from the line · really won 63–35
Wk 12 · at Vanderbilt · 98% to win, from the line · really won 38–17
Wk 13 · vs Kentucky · 95% to win, from the line · really won 34–10
Wk 14 · at Tennessee · 89% to win, from the line · really won 31–19
Wk 15 · vs LSU · 94% to win, from the line · really lost 34–37
10Iowa StateBig 12 · No. 10 seed708–3+8.5…
Record through week 16: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +8.5
Wk 2 · vs Louisiana · 82% to win, from the line · really lost 14–31
Wk 4 · at TCU · 59% to win, from the line · really won 37–34
Wk 5 · vs No. 6 Oklahoma · 31% to win, from the line · really won 37–30
Wk 6 · vs Texas Tech · 75% to win, from the line · really won 31–15
Wk 8 · at No. 20 Oklahoma State · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 21–24
Wk 9 · at Kansas · 97% to win, from the line · really won 52–22
Wk 10 · vs Baylor · 83% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 12 · vs Kansas State · 82% to win, from the line · really won 45–0
Wk 13 · at No. 19 Texas · 54% to win, from the line · really won 23–20
Wk 14 · vs West Virginia · 66% to win, from the line · really won 42–6
11Coastal CarolinaSun Belt · No. 11 seed8912–0+10.8…
Record through week 16: 11–0 · title chance … · power rating +10.8
Wk 2 · at Kansas · 35% to win, from the line · really won 38–23
Wk 3 · vs Campbell · 97% to win, from the line · really won 43–21
Wk 5 · vs Arkansas State · 41% to win, from the line · really won 52–23
Wk 7 · at Louisiana · 26% to win, from the line · really won 30–27
Wk 8 · vs Georgia Southern · 53% to win, from the line · really won 28–14
Wk 9 · at Georgia State · 59% to win, from the line · really won 51–0
Wk 10 · vs South Alabama · 87% to win, from the line · really won 23–6
Wk 12 · vs App State · 58% to win, from the line · really won 34–23
Wk 13 · at Texas State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 49–14
Wk 14 · vs No. 15 BYU · 24% to win, from the line · really won 22–17
Wk 15 · at Troy · 80% to win, from the line · really won 42–38
12IndianaBig Ten756–1+9.1…
Record through week 16: 6–1 · title chance … · power rating +9.1
Wk 8 · vs Penn State · 33% to win, from the line · really won 36–35
Wk 9 · at Rutgers · 78% to win, from the line · really won 37–21
Wk 10 · vs Michigan · 40% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 11 · at Michigan State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 24–0
Wk 12 · at No. 3 Ohio State · 8% to win, from the line · really lost 35–42
Wk 13 · vs Maryland · 78% to win, from the line · really won 27–11
Wk 14 · at Wisconsin · 18% to win, from the line · really won 14–6
13North CarolinaACC658–3+8.1…
Record through week 16: 8–3 · title chance … · power rating +8.1
Wk 2 · vs Syracuse · 95% to win, from the line · really won 31–6
Wk 5 · at Boston College · 83% to win, from the line · really won 26–22
Wk 6 · vs Virginia Tech · 59% to win, from the line · really won 56–45
Wk 7 · at Florida State · 82% to win, from the line · really lost 28–31
Wk 8 · vs No. 24 NC State · 84% to win, from the line · really won 48–21
Wk 9 · at Virginia · 69% to win, from the line · really lost 41–44
Wk 10 · at Duke · 78% to win, from the line · really won 56–24
Wk 11 · vs Wake Forest · 80% to win, from the line · really won 59–53
Wk 13 · vs No. 5 Notre Dame · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 17–31
Wk 14 · vs Western Carolina · >99% to win, from the line · really won 49–9
Wk 15 · at No. 17 Miami · 42% to win, from the line · really won 62–26
14IowaBig Ten676–2+10.2…
Record through week 16: 6–2 · title chance … · power rating +10.2
Wk 8 · at Purdue · 59% to win, from the line · really lost 20–24
Wk 9 · vs No. 16 Northwestern · 47% to win, from the line · really lost 20–21
Wk 10 · vs Michigan State · 64% to win, from the line · really won 49–7
Wk 11 · at Minnesota · 58% to win, from the line · really won 35–7
Wk 12 · at Penn State · 47% to win, from the line · really won 41–21
Wk 13 · vs Nebraska · 80% to win, from the line · really won 26–20
Wk 14 · at Illinois · 82% to win, from the line · really won 35–21
Wk 15 · vs Wisconsin · 45% to win, from the line · really won 28–7
15BYUFBS Independents7910–1+15.7…
Record through week 16: 10–1 · title chance … · power rating +15.7
Wk 1 · at Navy · 53% to win, from the line · really won 55–3
Wk 4 · vs Troy · 83% to win, from the line · really won 48–7
Wk 5 · vs Louisiana Tech · 95% to win, from the line · really won 45–14
Wk 6 · vs UTSA · 99% to win, from the line · really won 27–20
Wk 7 · at Houston · 58% to win, from the line · really won 43–26
Wk 8 · vs Texas State · 98% to win, from the line · really won 52–14
Wk 9 · vs Western Kentucky · 98% to win, from the line · really won 41–10
Wk 10 · at Boise State · 62% to win, from the line · really won 51–17
Wk 12 · vs North Alabama · >99% to win, from the line · really won 66–14
Wk 14 · at No. 11 Coastal Carolina · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 17–22
Wk 15 · vs San Diego State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 28–14
16NorthwesternBig Ten696–2+5.8…
Record through week 16: 6–1 · title chance … · power rating +5.8
Wk 8 · vs Maryland · 81% to win, from the line · really won 43–3
Wk 9 · at No. 14 Iowa · 53% to win, from the line · really won 21–20
Wk 10 · vs Nebraska · 61% to win, from the line · really won 21–13
Wk 11 · at Purdue · 59% to win, from the line · really won 27–20
Wk 12 · vs Wisconsin · 31% to win, from the line · really won 17–7
Wk 13 · at Michigan State · 82% to win, from the line · really lost 20–29
Wk 15 · vs Illinois · 82% to win, from the line · really won 28–10
17MiamiACC758–2+6.5…
Record through week 16: 8–2 · title chance … · power rating +6.5
Wk 2 · vs UAB · 85% to win, from the line · really won 31–14
Wk 3 · at Louisville · 57% to win, from the line · really won 47–34
Wk 4 · vs Florida State · 79% to win, from the line · really won 52–10
Wk 6 · at No. 2 Clemson · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 17–42
Wk 7 · vs Pittsburgh · 78% to win, from the line · really won 31–19
Wk 8 · vs Virginia · 82% to win, from the line · really won 19–14
Wk 10 · at No. 24 NC State · 76% to win, from the line · really won 44–41
Wk 11 · at Virginia Tech · 45% to win, from the line · really won 25–24
Wk 14 · at Duke · 83% to win, from the line · really won 48–0
Wk 15 · vs No. 13 North Carolina · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 26–62
18USCPac-12 · No. 12 seed, champion756–1+6.7…
Record through week 16: 5–1 · title chance … · power rating +6.7
Wk 10 · vs Arizona State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 28–27
Wk 11 · at Arizona · 84% to win, from the line · really won 34–30
Wk 12 · at Utah · 47% to win, from the line · really won 33–17
Wk 14 · vs Washington State · 77% to win, from the line · really won 38–13
Wk 15 · at UCLA · 59% to win, from the line · really won 43–38
Wk 16 · vs No. 23 Oregon · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 24–31
19TexasBig 12646–3+6.7…
Record through week 16: 6–3 · title chance … · power rating +6.7
Wk 2 · vs UTEP · >99% to win, from the line · really won 59–3
Wk 4 · at Texas Tech · 88% to win, from the line · really won 63–56
Wk 5 · vs TCU · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 31–33
Wk 6 · vs No. 6 Oklahoma · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 45–53
Wk 8 · vs Baylor · 77% to win, from the line · really won 27–16
Wk 9 · at No. 20 Oklahoma State · 41% to win, from the line · really won 41–34
Wk 10 · vs West Virginia · 67% to win, from the line · really won 17–13
Wk 13 · vs No. 10 Iowa State · 46% to win, from the line · really lost 20–23
Wk 14 · at Kansas State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 69–31
20Oklahoma StateBig 12677–3+4.6…
Record through week 16: 7–3 · title chance … · power rating +4.6
Wk 3 · vs Tulsa · 95% to win, from the line · really won 16–7
Wk 4 · vs West Virginia · 67% to win, from the line · really won 27–13
Wk 5 · at Kansas · 92% to win, from the line · really won 47–7
Wk 8 · vs No. 10 Iowa State · 57% to win, from the line · really won 24–21
Wk 9 · vs No. 19 Texas · 59% to win, from the line · really lost 34–41
Wk 10 · at Kansas State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 20–18
Wk 12 · at No. 6 Oklahoma · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 13–41
Wk 13 · vs Texas Tech · 78% to win, from the line · really won 50–44
Wk 14 · at TCU · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 22–29
Wk 15 · at Baylor · 66% to win, from the line · really won 42–3
21Ball StateMid-American776–1+8.0…
Record through week 16: 5–1 · title chance … · power rating +8.0
Wk 10 · at Miami (OH) · 53% to win, from the line · really lost 31–38
Wk 11 · vs Eastern Michigan · 72% to win, from the line · really won 38–31
Wk 12 · vs Northern Illinois · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–25
Wk 13 · at Toledo · 25% to win, from the line · really won 27–24
Wk 14 · at Central Michigan · 57% to win, from the line · really won 45–20
Wk 15 · vs Western Michigan · 45% to win, from the line · really won 30–27
22San José StateMountain West817–0+10.2…
Record through week 16: 6–0 · title chance … · power rating +10.2
Wk 8 · vs Air Force · 31% to win, from the line · really won 17–6
Wk 9 · at New Mexico · 18% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 10 · at San Diego State · 24% to win, from the line · really won 28–17
Wk 11 · vs UNLV · 87% to win, from the line · really won 34–17
Wk 14 · vs Hawai'i · 43% to win, from the line · really won 35–24
Wk 15 · vs Nevada · 43% to win, from the line · really won 30–20
23OregonPac-12664–2+5.8…
Record through week 16: 4–2 · title chance … · power rating +5.8
Wk 10 · vs Stanford · 78% to win, from the line · really won 35–14
Wk 11 · at Washington State · 76% to win, from the line · really won 43–29
Wk 12 · vs UCLA · 88% to win, from the line · really won 38–35
Wk 13 · at Oregon State · 81% to win, from the line · really lost 38–41
Wk 14 · at California · 73% to win, from the line · really lost 17–21
Wk 16 · at No. 18 USC · 42% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
24NC StateACC668–3+0.5…
Record through week 16: 8–3 · title chance … · power rating +0.5
Wk 3 · vs Wake Forest · 45% to win, from the line · really won 45–42
Wk 4 · at Virginia Tech · 35% to win, from the line · really lost 24–45
Wk 5 · at Pittsburgh · 18% to win, from the line · really won 30–29
Wk 6 · at Virginia · 32% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 7 · vs Duke · 59% to win, from the line · really won 31–20
Wk 8 · at No. 13 North Carolina · 16% to win, from the line · really lost 21–48
Wk 10 · vs No. 17 Miami · 24% to win, from the line · really lost 41–44
Wk 11 · vs Florida State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 38–22
Wk 12 · vs Liberty · 61% to win, from the line · really won 15–14
Wk 13 · at Syracuse · 87% to win, from the line · really won 36–29
Wk 14 · vs Georgia Tech · 68% to win, from the line · really won 23–13
25UCFAmerican Athletic646–3+10.4…
Record through week 16: 6–3 · title chance … · power rating +10.4
Wk 3 · at Georgia Tech · 74% to win, from the line · really won 49–21
Wk 4 · at East Carolina · 97% to win, from the line · really won 51–28
Wk 5 · vs Tulsa · 91% to win, from the line · really lost 26–34
Wk 7 · at Memphis · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 49–50
Wk 8 · vs Tulane · 92% to win, from the line · really won 51–34
Wk 9 · at Houston · 58% to win, from the line · really won 44–21
Wk 11 · vs Temple · 97% to win, from the line · really won 38–13
Wk 12 · vs No. 8 Cincinnati · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 33–36
Wk 13 · at South Florida · 95% to win, from the line · really won 58–46
Ranked by the committee’s final ranking in your season. Playoff resume rates what a team did, from 0 to 99: wins over good teams lift it and losses to weak ones sink it, measured against what a playoff-bubble team would do with the same schedule. Projected record has the favorite winning every game nobody has decided, title game included. Power rating is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. Make playoff is the share of 1,000 simulated seasons that put the team in the field. Tap a team to see and change its games.
Pick the winners, week by week
Week 16Already played
No. 4 Texas A&M 8–1 at Tennessee 3–7 · Really: Texas A&M won 34–13
No. 23 Oregon 4–2 at No. 18 USC 5–1 · Really: Oregon won 31–24
Records are through week 16 and change as you pick or sim. Tap a team to make it win. Percentages are each team’s chance to win, from the betting line when there is one. Red means the underdog wins.
Top 25
Final rankingOur committee formula
1Alabama 11–0
2Clemson 10–1
3Ohio State 6–0
4Texas A&M 8–1
5Notre Dame 10–1
6Oklahoma 8–2
7Georgia 7–2
8Cincinnati 9–0
9Florida 8–3
10Iowa State 8–3
11Coastal Carolina 12–0
12Indiana 6–1
13North Carolina 8–3
14Iowa 6–2
15BYU 10–1
16Northwestern 6–2
17Miami 8–2
18USC 6–1
19Texas 6–3
20Oklahoma State 7–3
21Ball State 6–1
22San José State 7–0
23Oregon 4–2
24NC State 8–3
25UCF 6–3
This is the ranking going into the week you’re picking, and it moves with the week arrows. The real AP poll and committee ranking show until the first week that goes differently from real life. After that we project them: every result moves teams the way real voters and the committee have from 2014 to 2025. A ranked team that loses to an unranked one drops about eight spots and falls out more often than not; an unranked team that beats a top-10 team can jump straight in. The committee’s last ranking picks your playoff field.
AlabamaSEC · No. 1 seed, champion9011–0+20.9…
ClemsonACC · No. 2 seed, champion8210–1+17.0…
Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 3 seed, champion796–0+14.0…
Texas A&MSEC · No. 4 seed798–1+7.4…
Notre DameACC · No. 5 seed8310–1+11.1…
OklahomaBig 12 · No. 6 seed, champion728–2+10.5…
GeorgiaSEC · No. 7 seed737–2+11.4…
CincinnatiAmerican Athletic · No. 8 seed, Group of 6 bid839–0+14.6…
FloridaSEC · No. 9 seed698–3+11.3…
Iowa StateBig 12 · No. 10 seed708–3+8.5…
Coastal CarolinaSun Belt · No. 11 seed8912–0+10.8…
IndianaBig Ten756–1+9.1…
North CarolinaACC658–3+8.1…
IowaBig Ten676–2+10.2…
BYUFBS Independents7910–1+15.7…
NorthwesternBig Ten696–2+5.8…
MiamiACC758–2+6.5…
USCPac-12 · No. 12 seed, champion756–1+6.7…
TexasBig 12646–3+6.7…
Oklahoma StateBig 12677–3+4.6…
Ball StateMid-American776–1+8.0…
San José StateMountain West817–0+10.2…
OregonPac-12664–2+5.8…
NC StateACC668–3+0.5…
UCFAmerican Athletic646–3+10.4…
Tennessee 3–7