Flip any 2014 result or replay the season from any week, and see who would make today's 12-team playoff.
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Ohio Stateyour national champion
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199upsets in your season
Pick a winner anywhere to see the odds of your version of the season. Games nobody has decided go to the favorite. Playoff odds come from playing the rest out 1,000 times, with your results locked in.
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The real 2014 playoff, when it had four teams, with real seeds and scores.
Semifinals
Championship
Change any game above and the simulator plays your version of 2014 out with today’s 12-team playoff, or now.
First teams out: Baylor, TCU, Mississippi State, Michigan State.
Record through week 14: 12–0 · title chance … · power rating +10.1
Wk 1 · vs Oklahoma State · 89% to win, from the line · really won 37–31
Wk 2 · vs The Citadel · >99% to win, from the line · really won 37–12
Wk 4 · vs No. 17 Clemson · 91% to win, from the line · really won 23–17
Wk 5 · at NC State · 94% to win, from the line · really won 56–41
Wk 6 · vs Wake Forest · 99% to win, from the line · really won 43–3
Wk 7 · at Syracuse · 91% to win, from the line · really won 38–20
Wk 8 · vs Notre Dame · 82% to win, from the line · really won 31–27
Wk 10 · at No. 21 Louisville · 72% to win, from the line · really won 42–31
Wk 11 · vs Virginia · 92% to win, from the line · really won 34–20
Wk 12 · at Miami · 57% to win, from the line · really won 30–26
Wk 13 · vs Boston College · 91% to win, from the line · really won 20–17
Wk 14 · vs Florida · 75% to win, from the line · really won 24–19
4Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 4 seed, champion8412–1+15.8…
Record through week 14: 11–1 · title chance … · power rating +15.8
Wk 1 · vs Navy · 90% to win, from the line · really won 34–17
Wk 2 · vs Virginia Tech · 79% to win, from the line · really lost 21–35
Wk 3 · vs Kent State · 96% to win, from the line · really won 66–0
Wk 5 · vs Cincinnati · 80% to win, from the line · really won 50–28
Wk 6 · at Maryland · 72% to win, from the line · really won 52–24
Wk 8 · vs Rutgers · 90% to win, from the line · really won 56–17
Wk 9 · at Penn State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 10 · vs Illinois · 97% to win, from the line · really won 55–14
Wk 11 · at No. 8 Michigan State · 45% to win, from the line · really won 49–37
Wk 12 · at No. 25 Minnesota · 83% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 13 · vs Indiana · 98% to win, from the line · really won 42–27
Wk 14 · vs Michigan · 91% to win, from the line · really won 42–28
5BaylorBig 128111–1+12.9…
Record through week 14: 10–1 · title chance … · power rating +12.9
Wk 1 · vs SMU · 98% to win, from the line · really won 45–0
Wk 2 · vs Northwestern State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 70–6
Wk 3 · at Buffalo · 96% to win, from the line · really won 63–21
Wk 5 · at Iowa State · 93% to win, from the line · really won 49–28
Wk 6 · at Texas · 81% to win, from the line · really won 28–7
Wk 7 · vs No. 6 TCU · 77% to win, from the line · really won 61–58
Wk 8 · at West Virginia · 74% to win, from the line · really lost 27–41
Wk 10 · vs Kansas · 99% to win, from the line · really won 60–14
Wk 11 · at Oklahoma · 42% to win, from the line · really won 48–14
Wk 13 · vs Oklahoma State · 95% to win, from the line · really won 49–28
Wk 14 · vs Texas Tech · 92% to win, from the line · really won 48–46
Wk 15 · vs No. 11 Kansas State · 73% to win, from the line · really won 38–27
6TCUBig 128111–1+14.6…
Record through week 14: 10–1 · title chance … · power rating +14.6
Wk 1 · vs Samford · 99% to win, from the line · really won 48–14
Wk 3 · vs No. 25 Minnesota · 72% to win, from the line · really won 30–7
Wk 5 · at SMU · 98% to win, from the line · really won 56–0
Wk 6 · vs Oklahoma · 37% to win, from the line · really won 37–33
Wk 7 · at No. 5 Baylor · 23% to win, from the line · really lost 58–61
Wk 8 · vs Oklahoma State · 75% to win, from the line · really won 42–9
Wk 9 · vs Texas Tech · 91% to win, from the line · really won 82–27
Wk 10 · at West Virginia · 61% to win, from the line · really won 31–30
Wk 11 · vs No. 11 Kansas State · 66% to win, from the line · really won 41–20
Wk 12 · at Kansas · 95% to win, from the line · really won 34–30
Wk 14 · at Texas · 69% to win, from the line · really won 48–10
Wk 15 · vs Iowa State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 55–3
7Mississippi StateSEC8010–2+13.3…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +13.3
Wk 1 · vs Southern Miss · 96% to win, from the line · really won 49–0
Wk 2 · vs UAB · 97% to win, from the line · really won 47–34
Wk 3 · at South Alabama · 81% to win, from the line · really won 35–3
Wk 4 · at No. 23 LSU · 32% to win, from the line · really won 34–29
Wk 6 · vs Texas A&M · 47% to win, from the line · really won 48–31
Wk 7 · vs No. 19 Auburn · 42% to win, from the line · really won 38–23
Wk 9 · at Kentucky · 81% to win, from the line · really won 45–31
Wk 10 · vs Arkansas · 83% to win, from the line · really won 17–10
Wk 11 · vs UT Martin · >99% to win, from the line · really won 45–16
Wk 12 · at No. 1 Alabama · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 20–25
Wk 13 · vs Vanderbilt · 98% to win, from the line · really won 51–0
Wk 14 · at No. 9 Ole Miss · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 17–31
8Michigan StateBig Ten7410–2+13.2…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +13.2
Wk 1 · vs Jacksonville State · 97% to win, from the line · really won 45–7
Wk 2 · at No. 2 Oregon · 23% to win, from the line · really lost 27–46
Wk 4 · vs Eastern Michigan · >99% to win, from the line · really won 73–14
Wk 5 · vs Wyoming · 98% to win, from the line · really won 56–14
Wk 6 · vs Nebraska · 70% to win, from the line · really won 27–22
Wk 7 · at Purdue · 92% to win, from the line · really won 45–31
Wk 8 · at Indiana · 83% to win, from the line · really won 56–17
Wk 9 · vs Michigan · 85% to win, from the line · really won 35–11
Wk 11 · vs No. 4 Ohio State · 55% to win, from the line · really lost 37–49
Wk 12 · at Maryland · 76% to win, from the line · really won 37–15
Wk 13 · vs Rutgers · 93% to win, from the line · really won 45–3
Wk 14 · at Penn State · 78% to win, from the line · really won 34–10
9Ole MissSEC779–3+15.0…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +15.0
Wk 1 · vs No. 20 Boise State · 74% to win, from the line · really won 35–13
Wk 2 · at Vanderbilt · 83% to win, from the line · really won 41–3
Wk 3 · vs Louisiana · 96% to win, from the line · really won 56–15
Wk 5 · vs Memphis · 92% to win, from the line · really won 24–3
Wk 6 · vs No. 1 Alabama · 38% to win, from the line · really won 23–17
Wk 7 · at Texas A&M · 47% to win, from the line · really won 35–20
Wk 8 · vs Tennessee · 87% to win, from the line · really won 34–3
Wk 9 · at No. 23 LSU · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 7–10
Wk 10 · vs No. 19 Auburn · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 31–35
Wk 11 · vs Presbyterian · >99% to win, from the line · really won 48–0
Wk 13 · at Arkansas · 55% to win, from the line · really lost 0–30
Wk 14 · vs No. 7 Mississippi State · 43% to win, from the line · really won 31–17
10ArizonaPac-127710–3+9.0…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.0
Wk 1 · vs UNLV · 93% to win, from the line · really won 58–13
Wk 2 · at UTSA · 70% to win, from the line · really won 26–23
Wk 3 · vs Nevada · 86% to win, from the line · really won 35–28
Wk 4 · vs California · 86% to win, from the line · really won 49–45
Wk 6 · at No. 2 Oregon · 7% to win, from the line · really won 31–24
Wk 7 · vs No. 24 USC · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 26–28
Wk 9 · at Washington State · 61% to win, from the line · really won 59–37
Wk 10 · at No. 14 UCLA · 38% to win, from the line · really lost 7–17
Wk 11 · vs Colorado · 85% to win, from the line · really won 38–20
Wk 12 · vs Washington · 73% to win, from the line · really won 27–26
Wk 13 · at No. 22 Utah · 41% to win, from the line · really won 42–10
Wk 14 · vs No. 15 Arizona State · 57% to win, from the line · really won 42–35
11Kansas StateBig 12719–3+11.0…
Record through week 14: 9–2 · title chance … · power rating +11.0
Wk 1 · vs Stephen F. Austin · >99% to win, from the line · really won 55–16
Wk 2 · at Iowa State · 85% to win, from the line · really won 32–28
Wk 4 · vs No. 19 Auburn · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 14–20
Wk 5 · vs UTEP · 98% to win, from the line · really won 58–28
Wk 6 · vs Texas Tech · 80% to win, from the line · really won 45–13
Wk 8 · at Oklahoma · 21% to win, from the line · really won 31–30
Wk 9 · vs Texas · 81% to win, from the line · really won 23–0
Wk 10 · vs Oklahoma State · 80% to win, from the line · really won 48–14
Wk 11 · at No. 6 TCU · 35% to win, from the line · really lost 20–41
Wk 13 · at West Virginia · 43% to win, from the line · really won 26–20
Wk 14 · vs Kansas · 97% to win, from the line · really won 51–13
Wk 15 · at No. 5 Baylor · 27% to win, from the line · really lost 27–38
12Georgia TechACC7410–3+11.4…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +11.4
Wk 1 · vs Wofford · 97% to win, from the line · really won 38–19
Wk 2 · at Tulane · 76% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 3 · vs Georgia Southern · 95% to win, from the line · really won 42–38
Wk 4 · at Virginia Tech · 35% to win, from the line · really won 27–24
Wk 6 · vs Miami · 53% to win, from the line · really won 28–17
Wk 7 · vs Duke · 66% to win, from the line · really lost 25–31
Wk 8 · at North Carolina · 45% to win, from the line · really lost 43–48
Wk 9 · at Pittsburgh · 40% to win, from the line · really won 56–28
Wk 10 · vs Virginia · 57% to win, from the line · really won 35–10
Wk 11 · at NC State · 58% to win, from the line · really won 56–23
Wk 12 · vs No. 17 Clemson · 43% to win, from the line · really won 28–6
Wk 14 · at No. 13 Georgia · 17% to win, from the line · really won 30–24
13GeorgiaSEC719–3+13.6…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +13.6
Wk 1 · vs No. 17 Clemson · 74% to win, from the line · really won 45–21
Wk 3 · at South Carolina · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 35–38
Wk 4 · vs Troy · 99% to win, from the line · really won 66–0
Wk 5 · vs Tennessee · 89% to win, from the line · really won 35–32
Wk 6 · vs Vanderbilt · 99% to win, from the line · really won 44–17
Wk 7 · at No. 16 Missouri · 54% to win, from the line · really won 34–0
Wk 8 · at Arkansas · 58% to win, from the line · really won 45–32
Wk 10 · vs Florida · 75% to win, from the line · really lost 20–38
Wk 11 · at Kentucky · 81% to win, from the line · really won 63–31
Wk 12 · vs No. 19 Auburn · 55% to win, from the line · really won 34–7
Wk 13 · vs Charleston Southern · >99% to win, from the line · really won 55–9
Wk 14 · vs No. 12 Georgia Tech · 83% to win, from the line · really lost 24–30
14UCLAPac-12789–3+9.6…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +9.6
Wk 1 · at Virginia · 89% to win, from the line · really won 28–20
Wk 2 · vs Memphis · 95% to win, from the line · really won 42–35
Wk 3 · vs Texas · 66% to win, from the line · really won 20–17
Wk 5 · at No. 15 Arizona State · 58% to win, from the line · really won 62–27
Wk 6 · vs No. 22 Utah · 80% to win, from the line · really lost 28–30
Wk 7 · vs No. 2 Oregon · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 30–42
Wk 8 · at California · 70% to win, from the line · really won 36–34
Wk 9 · at Colorado · 80% to win, from the line · really won 40–37
Wk 10 · vs No. 10 Arizona · 62% to win, from the line · really won 17–7
Wk 11 · at Washington · 63% to win, from the line · really won 44–30
Wk 13 · vs No. 24 USC · 58% to win, from the line · really won 38–20
Wk 14 · vs Stanford · 62% to win, from the line · really lost 10–31
15Arizona StatePac-12719–3+9.1…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +9.1
Wk 1 · vs Weber State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 45–14
Wk 2 · at New Mexico · 96% to win, from the line · really won 58–23
Wk 3 · at Colorado · 82% to win, from the line · really won 38–24
Wk 5 · vs No. 14 UCLA · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 27–62
Wk 6 · at No. 24 USC · 24% to win, from the line · really won 38–34
Wk 8 · vs Stanford · 38% to win, from the line · really won 26–10
Wk 9 · at Washington · 59% to win, from the line · really won 24–10
Wk 10 · vs No. 22 Utah · 57% to win, from the line · really won 19–16
Wk 11 · vs Notre Dame · 53% to win, from the line · really won 55–31
Wk 12 · at Oregon State · 67% to win, from the line · really lost 27–35
Wk 13 · vs Washington State · 87% to win, from the line · really won 52–31
Wk 14 · at No. 10 Arizona · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 35–42
16MissouriSEC7410–3+7.0…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +7.0
Wk 1 · vs South Dakota State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 38–18
Wk 2 · at Toledo · 64% to win, from the line · really won 49–24
Wk 3 · vs UCF · 73% to win, from the line · really won 38–10
Wk 4 · vs Indiana · 86% to win, from the line · really lost 27–31
Wk 5 · at South Carolina · 36% to win, from the line · really won 21–20
Wk 7 · vs No. 13 Georgia · 46% to win, from the line · really lost 0–34
Wk 8 · at Florida · 42% to win, from the line · really won 42–13
Wk 9 · vs Vanderbilt · 95% to win, from the line · really won 24–14
Wk 10 · vs Kentucky · 68% to win, from the line · really won 20–10
Wk 12 · at Texas A&M · 33% to win, from the line · really won 34–27
Wk 13 · at Tennessee · 42% to win, from the line · really won 29–21
Wk 14 · vs Arkansas · 46% to win, from the line · really won 21–14
17ClemsonACC709–3+6.9…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +6.9
Wk 1 · at No. 13 Georgia · 26% to win, from the line · really lost 21–45
Wk 2 · vs South Carolina State · 98% to win, from the line · really won 73–7
Wk 4 · at No. 3 Florida State · 9% to win, from the line · really lost 17–23
Wk 5 · vs North Carolina · 75% to win, from the line · really won 50–35
Wk 6 · vs NC State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 41–0
Wk 7 · vs No. 21 Louisville · 67% to win, from the line · really won 23–17
Wk 8 · at Boston College · 69% to win, from the line · really won 17–13
Wk 9 · vs Syracuse · 86% to win, from the line · really won 16–6
Wk 11 · at Wake Forest · 91% to win, from the line · really won 34–20
Wk 12 · at No. 12 Georgia Tech · 57% to win, from the line · really lost 6–28
Wk 13 · vs Georgia State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 28–0
Wk 14 · vs South Carolina · 62% to win, from the line · really won 35–17
18WisconsinBig Ten6810–3+9.7…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.7
Wk 1 · vs No. 23 LSU · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 24–28
Wk 2 · vs Western Illinois · >99% to win, from the line · really won 37–3
Wk 4 · vs Bowling Green · 87% to win, from the line · really won 68–17
Wk 5 · vs South Florida · 98% to win, from the line · really won 27–10
Wk 6 · at Northwestern · 74% to win, from the line · really lost 14–20
Wk 7 · vs Illinois · 95% to win, from the line · really won 38–28
Wk 9 · vs Maryland · 75% to win, from the line · really won 52–7
Wk 10 · at Rutgers · 77% to win, from the line · really won 37–0
Wk 11 · at Purdue · 85% to win, from the line · really won 34–16
Wk 12 · vs Nebraska · 61% to win, from the line · really won 59–24
Wk 13 · at Iowa · 72% to win, from the line · really won 26–24
Wk 14 · vs No. 25 Minnesota · 80% to win, from the line · really won 34–24
19AuburnSEC748–4+12.1…
Record through week 14: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +12.1
Wk 1 · vs Arkansas · 92% to win, from the line · really won 45–21
Wk 2 · vs San José State · 97% to win, from the line · really won 59–13
Wk 4 · at No. 11 Kansas State · 67% to win, from the line · really won 20–14
Wk 5 · vs Louisiana Tech · 99% to win, from the line · really won 45–17
Wk 6 · vs No. 23 LSU · 73% to win, from the line · really won 41–7
Wk 7 · at No. 7 Mississippi State · 58% to win, from the line · really lost 23–38
Wk 9 · vs South Carolina · 83% to win, from the line · really won 42–35
Wk 10 · at No. 9 Ole Miss · 42% to win, from the line · really won 35–31
Wk 11 · vs Texas A&M · 83% to win, from the line · really lost 38–41
Wk 12 · at No. 13 Georgia · 45% to win, from the line · really lost 7–34
Wk 13 · vs Samford · >99% to win, from the line · really won 31–7
Wk 14 · at No. 1 Alabama · 32% to win, from the line · really lost 44–55
20Boise StateMountain West7411–2+9.3…
Record through week 14: 10–2 · title chance … · power rating +9.3
Wk 1 · vs No. 9 Ole Miss · 26% to win, from the line · really lost 13–35
Wk 2 · vs Colorado State · 70% to win, from the line · really won 37–24
Wk 3 · at UConn · 86% to win, from the line · really won 38–21
Wk 4 · vs Louisiana · 88% to win, from the line · really won 34–9
Wk 5 · at Air Force · 84% to win, from the line · really lost 14–28
Wk 6 · at Nevada · 54% to win, from the line · really won 51–46
Wk 8 · vs Fresno State · 86% to win, from the line · really won 37–27
Wk 9 · vs BYU · 67% to win, from the line · really won 55–30
Wk 11 · at New Mexico · 83% to win, from the line · really won 60–49
Wk 12 · vs San Diego State · 84% to win, from the line · really won 38–29
Wk 13 · at Wyoming · 86% to win, from the line · really won 63–14
Wk 14 · vs Utah State · 73% to win, from the line · really won 50–19
21LouisvilleACC689–3+8.7…
Record through week 14: 9–3 · title chance … · power rating +8.7
Wk 1 · vs Miami · 64% to win, from the line · really won 31–13
Wk 2 · vs Murray State · 99% to win, from the line · really won 66–21
Wk 3 · at Virginia · 75% to win, from the line · really lost 21–23
Wk 4 · at Florida International · 96% to win, from the line · really won 34–3
Wk 5 · vs Wake Forest · 92% to win, from the line · really won 20–10
Wk 6 · at Syracuse · 59% to win, from the line · really won 28–6
Wk 7 · at No. 17 Clemson · 33% to win, from the line · really lost 17–23
Wk 8 · vs NC State · 83% to win, from the line · really won 30–18
Wk 10 · vs No. 3 Florida State · 28% to win, from the line · really lost 31–42
Wk 11 · at Boston College · 57% to win, from the line · really won 38–19
Wk 13 · at Notre Dame · 27% to win, from the line · really won 31–28
Wk 14 · vs Kentucky · 83% to win, from the line · really won 44–40
22UtahPac-12678–4+5.2…
Record through week 14: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +5.2
Wk 1 · vs Idaho State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 56–14
Wk 2 · vs Fresno State · 69% to win, from the line · really won 59–27
Wk 4 · at Michigan · 33% to win, from the line · really won 26–10
Wk 5 · vs Washington State · 75% to win, from the line · really lost 27–28
Wk 6 · at No. 14 UCLA · 20% to win, from the line · really won 30–28
Wk 8 · at Oregon State · 46% to win, from the line · really won 29–23
Wk 9 · vs No. 24 USC · 53% to win, from the line · really won 24–21
Wk 10 · at No. 15 Arizona State · 43% to win, from the line · really lost 16–19
Wk 11 · vs No. 2 Oregon · 26% to win, from the line · really lost 27–51
Wk 12 · at Stanford · 31% to win, from the line · really won 20–17
Wk 13 · vs No. 10 Arizona · 59% to win, from the line · really lost 10–42
Wk 14 · at Colorado · 75% to win, from the line · really won 38–34
23LSUSEC708–4+8.4…
Record through week 14: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +8.4
Wk 1 · vs No. 18 Wisconsin · 58% to win, from the line · really won 28–24
Wk 2 · vs Sam Houston · 99% to win, from the line · really won 56–0
Wk 3 · vs UL Monroe · 97% to win, from the line · really won 31–0
Wk 4 · vs No. 7 Mississippi State · 68% to win, from the line · really lost 29–34
Wk 5 · vs New Mexico State · >99% to win, from the line · really won 63–7
Wk 6 · at No. 19 Auburn · 27% to win, from the line · really lost 7–41
Wk 7 · at Florida · 53% to win, from the line · really won 30–27
Wk 8 · vs Kentucky · 77% to win, from the line · really won 41–3
Wk 9 · vs No. 9 Ole Miss · 42% to win, from the line · really won 10–7
Wk 11 · vs No. 1 Alabama · 35% to win, from the line · really lost 13–20
Wk 12 · at Arkansas · 46% to win, from the line · really lost 0–17
Wk 14 · at Texas A&M · 55% to win, from the line · really won 23–17
24USCPac-12668–4+11.6…
Record through week 14: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +11.6
Wk 1 · vs Fresno State · 89% to win, from the line · really won 52–13
Wk 2 · at Stanford · 40% to win, from the line · really won 13–10
Wk 3 · at Boston College · 91% to win, from the line · really lost 31–37
Wk 5 · vs Oregon State · 81% to win, from the line · really won 35–10
Wk 6 · vs No. 15 Arizona State · 76% to win, from the line · really lost 34–38
Wk 7 · at No. 10 Arizona · 57% to win, from the line · really won 28–26
Wk 8 · vs Colorado · 91% to win, from the line · really won 56–28
Wk 9 · at No. 22 Utah · 47% to win, from the line · really lost 21–24
Wk 10 · at Washington State · 68% to win, from the line · really won 44–17
Wk 12 · vs California · 79% to win, from the line · really won 38–30
Wk 13 · at No. 14 UCLA · 42% to win, from the line · really lost 20–38
Wk 14 · vs Notre Dame · 68% to win, from the line · really won 49–14
25MinnesotaBig Ten638–4+4.5…
Record through week 14: 8–4 · title chance … · power rating +4.5
Wk 1 · vs Eastern Illinois · 98% to win · really won 42–20
Wk 2 · vs Middle Tennessee · 83% to win, from the line · really won 35–24
Wk 3 · at No. 6 TCU · 29% to win, from the line · really lost 7–30
Wk 4 · vs San José State · 67% to win, from the line · really won 24–7
Wk 5 · at Michigan · 26% to win, from the line · really won 30–14
Wk 7 · vs Northwestern · 59% to win, from the line · really won 24–17
Wk 8 · vs Purdue · 83% to win, from the line · really won 39–38
Wk 9 · at Illinois · 67% to win, from the line · really lost 24–28
Wk 11 · vs Iowa · 53% to win, from the line · really won 51–14
Wk 12 · vs No. 4 Ohio State · 17% to win, from the line · really lost 24–31
Wk 13 · at Nebraska · 25% to win, from the line · really won 28–24
Wk 14 · at No. 18 Wisconsin · 20% to win, from the line · really lost 24–34
Ranked by the committee’s final ranking in your season. Playoff resume rates what a team did, from 0 to 99: wins over good teams lift it and losses to weak ones sink it, measured against what a playoff-bubble team would do with the same schedule. Projected record has the favorite winning every game nobody has decided, title game included. Power rating is how many points better than an average FBS team a team is on a neutral field. Make playoff is the share of 1,000 simulated seasons that put the team in the field. Tap a team to see and change its games.
Pick the winners, week by week
Week 14Already played
No. 19 Auburn 8–4 at No. 1 Alabama 11–1 · Really: Alabama won 55–44
No. 2 Oregon 11–1 at Oregon State 5–7 · Really: Oregon won 47–19
Florida 6–5 at No. 3 Florida State 12–0 · Really: Florida State won 24–19
Michigan 5–7 at No. 4 Ohio State 11–1 · Really: Ohio State won 42–28
No. 5 Baylor 10–1 vs Texas Tech 4–8 · Really: Baylor won 48–46
No. 6 TCU 10–1 at Texas 6–6 · Really: TCU won 48–10
No. 7 Mississippi State 10–2 at No. 9 Ole Miss 9–3 · Really: Ole Miss won 31–17
No. 8 Michigan State 10–2 at Penn State 6–6 · Really: Michigan State won 34–10
No. 15 Arizona State 9–3 at No. 10 Arizona 10–2 · Really: Arizona won 42–35
Kansas 3–9 at No. 11 Kansas State 9–2 · Really: Kansas State won 51–13
No. 12 Georgia Tech 10–2 at No. 13 Georgia 9–3 · Really: Georgia Tech won 30–24
Stanford 7–5 at No. 14 UCLA 9–3 · Really: Stanford won 31–10
Arkansas 6–6 at No. 16 Missouri 10–2 · Really: Missouri won 21–14
South Carolina 6–6 at No. 17 Clemson 9–3 · Really: Clemson won 35–17
No. 25 Minnesota 8–4 at No. 18 Wisconsin 10–2 · Really: Wisconsin won 34–24
Utah State 9–4 at No. 20 Boise State 10–2 · Really: Boise State won 50–19
Kentucky 5–7 at No. 21 Louisville 9–3 · Really: Louisville won 44–40
No. 22 Utah 8–4 at Colorado 2–10 · Really: Utah won 38–34
No. 23 LSU 8–4 at Texas A&M 7–5 · Really: LSU won 23–17
Notre Dame 7–5 at No. 24 USC 8–4 · Really: USC won 49–14
Records are through week 14 and change as you pick or sim. Tap a team to make it win. Percentages are each team’s chance to win, from the betting line when there is one. Red means the underdog wins.
Top 25
Final rankingReal committee ranking
1Alabama 12–1
2Oregon 12–1
3Florida State 13–0
4Ohio State 12–1
5Baylor 11–1
6TCU 11–1
7Mississippi State 10–2
8Michigan State 10–2
9Ole Miss 9–3
10Arizona 10–3
11Kansas State 9–3
12Georgia Tech 10–3
13Georgia 9–3
14UCLA 9–3
15Arizona State 9–3
16Missouri 10–3
17Clemson 9–3
18Wisconsin 10–3
19Auburn 8–4
20Boise State 11–2
21Louisville 9–3
22Utah 8–4
23LSU 8–4▲1
24USC 8–4▲1
25Minnesota 8–4new
This is the ranking going into the week you’re picking, and it moves with the week arrows. The real AP poll and committee ranking show until the first week that goes differently from real life. After that we project them: every result moves teams the way real voters and the committee have from 2014 to 2025. A ranked team that loses to an unranked one drops about eight spots and falls out more often than not; an unranked team that beats a top-10 team can jump straight in. The committee’s last ranking picks your playoff field.
AlabamaSEC · No. 1 seed, champion9212–1+17.2…
OregonPac-12 · No. 2 seed, champion8712–1+19.2…
Florida StateACC · No. 3 seed, champion9213–0+10.1…
Ohio StateBig Ten · No. 4 seed, champion8412–1+15.8…
BaylorBig 128111–1+12.9…
TCUBig 128111–1+14.6…
Mississippi StateSEC8010–2+13.3…
Michigan StateBig Ten7410–2+13.2…
Ole MissSEC779–3+15.0…
ArizonaPac-127710–3+9.0…
Kansas StateBig 12719–3+11.0…
Georgia TechACC7410–3+11.4…
GeorgiaSEC719–3+13.6…
UCLAPac-12789–3+9.6…
Arizona StatePac-12719–3+9.1…
MissouriSEC7410–3+7.0…
ClemsonACC709–3+6.9…
WisconsinBig Ten6810–3+9.7…
AuburnSEC748–4+12.1…
Boise StateMountain West7411–2+9.3…
LouisvilleACC689–3+8.7…
UtahPac-12678–4+5.2…
LSUSEC708–4+8.4…
USCPac-12668–4+11.6…
MinnesotaBig Ten638–4+4.5…
Oregon State 5–7
Florida 6–5 at 
Michigan 5–7 at 
Texas Tech 4–8
Texas 6–6
Penn State 6–6
Kansas 3–9 at 
Stanford 7–5 at 
Arkansas 6–6 at 
South Carolina 6–6 at 
Utah State 9–4 at 
Kentucky 5–7 at 
Colorado 2–10
Texas A&M 7–5
Notre Dame 7–5 at