College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
2025 · Bowl season · Tuesday, December 30, 2025 · Neutral site

TCU upsets No. 16 USC, 30–27

TCU closed as a 4.5-point underdog and won outright. It was unranked TCU taking down the No. 16 team in the AP poll.

Final30–27
Upset size9.5
Rank in 202557th of 184
4.5-point underdogUnranked beat No. 16

It was the 4th-biggest of 15 upsets in 2025 Bowl season, and the 57th-biggest of the 2025 season. TCU pulled off 1 other upset in 2025.

Other upsets in 2025 Bowl season

  1. 13.5-point underdogRecap
    Upset size13.5
  2. 7.5-point underdogNo. 10 beat No. 3Recap
    Upset size11
  3. 3-point underdogUnranked beat No. 13Recap
    Upset size9.5
  4. 6-point underdogNo. 6 beat No. 2Recap
    Upset size8
  5. 17, 10
    6.5-point underdogRecap
    Upset size6.5

TCU’s other 2025 upsets

  1. Week 13Unranked beat No. 25Recap
    Upset size0.5

More: TCU upsets · USC upsets · all Bowl season upsets · the 2025 season · how upset size works