College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2026 · Week 5 · Thursday, October 8, 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers upset Dallas Cowboys, 24–16

The Buccaneers closed as 9.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 19% chance.

Final24–16
Upset size9.5
Chance to win19%
Rank in 20261st of 16

It was the biggest of 3 NFL upsets in 2026 Week 5, and the biggest of the 2026 season. It was Tampa Bay Buccaneers's only upset win of 2026.

Other NFL upsets in 2026 Week 5

  1. 3.5-point underdog39% to winOTRecap
    Upset size3.5
  2. 3.5-point underdog38% to winOTRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: Tampa Bay Buccaneers upsets · Dallas Cowboys upsets · all Week 5 upsets · how upset size works