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The Upset Report
NFL · 2025 · Week 14 · Sunday, December 7, 2025

New Orleans Saints upset Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 24–20

The Saints closed as 7.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 22% chance.

Final24–20
Upset size7.5
Chance to win22%
Rank in 202511th of 52

It was the biggest of 4 NFL upsets in 2025 Week 14, and the 11th-biggest of the 2025 season. New Orleans Saints pulled off 1 other upset in 2025.

Other NFL upsets in 2025 Week 14

  1. Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Baltimore Ravens 22
    5.5-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5
  2. Tennessee Titans 31, Cleveland Browns 29
    4.5-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5
  3. Houston Texans 20, Kansas City Chiefs 10
    4.5-point underdog34% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5

New Orleans Saints’ other 2025 upsets

  1. New Orleans Saints 17, Carolina Panthers 7
    Week 105.5-point underdog32% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5

More: New Orleans Saints upsets · Tampa Bay Buccaneers upsets · all Week 14 upsets · how upset size works