College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2023 · Week 7 · Sunday, October 22, 2023

New England Patriots upset Buffalo Bills, 29–25

The Patriots closed as 7.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 23% chance.

Final29–25
Upset size7.5
Chance to win23%
Rank in 20239th of 47

It was the biggest of 3 NFL upsets in 2023 Week 7, and the 9th-biggest of the 2023 season. New England Patriots pulled off 2 other upsets in 2023.

Other NFL upsets in 2023 Week 7

  1. 7-point underdog27% to winRecap
    Upset size7
  2. 3.5-point underdog39% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

New England Patriots’ other 2023 upsets

  1. Week 167-point underdog26% to winRecap
    Upset size7
  2. Week 146-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size6

More: New England Patriots upsets · Buffalo Bills upsets · all Week 7 upsets · how upset size works