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The Upset Report
NFL · 2021 · Week 18 · Sunday, January 9, 2022

Miami Dolphins beat New England Patriots, 33–24

The Dolphins closed as 6-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 32% chance.

Final33–24
Upset size6
Chance to win32%
Rank in 202129th of 58

It was the 2nd-biggest of 5 NFL upsets in 2021 Week 18, and the 29th-biggest of the 2021 season. Miami Dolphins pulled off 2 other upsets in 2021.

Other NFL upsets in 2021 Week 18

  1. 14-point underdog13% to winRecap
    Upset size14
  2. 5.5-point underdog33% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5
  3. 4-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4
  4. 3.5-point underdog38% to winOTRecap
    Upset size3.5

Miami Dolphins’ other 2021 upsets

  1. Week 108.5-point underdog23% to winRecap
    Upset size8.5
  2. Week 13.5-point underdog38% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: Miami Dolphins upsets · New England Patriots upsets · all Week 18 upsets · how upset size works