College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2009 · Week 12 · Sunday, November 29, 2009

Buffalo Bills beat Miami Dolphins, 31–14

The Bills closed as 3.5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 36% chance.

Final31–14
Upset size3.5
Chance to win36%
Rank in 200944th of 52

It was the 2nd-biggest of 2 NFL upsets in 2009 Week 12, and the 44th-biggest of the 2009 season. Buffalo Bills pulled off 2 other upsets in 2009.

Other NFL upsets in 2009 Week 12

  1. 4.5-point underdog33% to winRecap
    Upset size4.5

Buffalo Bills’ other 2009 upsets

  1. Week 69.5-point underdog21% to winOTRecap
    Upset size9.5
  2. Week 77-point underdog26% to winRecap
    Upset size7

More: Buffalo Bills upsets · Miami Dolphins upsets · all Week 12 upsets · how upset size works