College football · NFLTuesday, October 13, 2026
The Upset Report
NFL · 2006 · Divisional round · Sunday, January 14, 2007

New England Patriots beat San Diego Chargers, 24–21

The Patriots closed as 5-point underdogs and won outright. The betting market gave them a 31% chance.

Final24–21
Upset size5
Chance to win31%
Rank in 200636th of 59

It was the biggest of 2 NFL upsets in 2006 Divisional round, and the 36th-biggest of the 2006 season. New England Patriots pulled off 2 other upsets in 2006.

Other NFL upsets in 2006 Divisional round

  1. 4-point underdog36% to winRecap
    Upset size4

New England Patriots’ other 2006 upsets

  1. Week 45.5-point underdog30% to winRecap
    Upset size5.5
  2. Week 173.5-point underdog37% to winRecap
    Upset size3.5

More: New England Patriots upsets · San Diego Chargers upsets · all Divisional round upsets · how upset size works